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Betting tips › Liga Profesional ›  Talleres (Córdoba) v Belgrano (Córdoba)

 Liga ProfesionalSun 4 Oct 20:00 UTCMario Alberto Kempes

Talleres (Córdoba) v Belgrano (Córdoba) tips

TALLTalleres (Córdoba)LWLDD
VS
BELBelgrano (Córdoba)WDDDL
The model callUnder 2.5Total goals1.50★★★★2 stars

This Cordoba derby looks tight with both sides showing mixed form lately. The pricing on under goals reflects a match where chances should be hard to find.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$30
Profit$10
Why it might land
  • The total goals line for under is priced at one point five zero which suggests a very low scoring affair based on recent matches.
  • Belgrano recently recorded three draws in five games showing they often keep things very close without finding the net often.
  • Talleres come into this fixture after drawing two of their last five outings which points to tight contests in their recent schedule.
Why it might not
  • Talleres are priced at two point five zero to win which implies the bookmakers still expect them to create enough moments to break through.
  • Belgrano managed a recent win in their last five outings proving they can occasionally score the goals needed to ruin an under bet.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Recent runs featuring multiple draws for both sides suggest at least one attack might struggle to score here.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Talleres (Córdoba) the side to beat here at 37%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Under 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. This Cordoba derby looks tight with both sides showing mixed form lately. The pricing on under goals reflects a match where chances should be hard to find.

Form and momentum

Talleres (Córdoba) come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Belgrano (Córdoba) come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 37% for TALL, 31% for the draw and 31% for BEL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.50, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Talleres are priced at two point five zero to win which implies the bookmakers still expect them to create enough moments to break through.
  • Belgrano managed a recent win in their last five outings proving they can occasionally score the goals needed to ruin an under bet.
The bottom line

We back Under 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsTALL +150
TALL2.50draw2.95BEL2.95

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

TALLTalleres (Córdoba)7 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost4
  • Scored6and let in13
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLDD
BELBelgrano (Córdoba)7 games on record
Won3
Drawn3
Lost1
  • Scored9and let in5
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDDDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Cordoba derby draw or will Talleres nick it?

This derby looks tight with both sides showing mixed form lately and the prices suggest goals will be hard to find. On the other hand, Talleres are priced at two point five zero so the bookmakers stil...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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