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Betting tips › League Two ›  Swindon Town v Walsall

 League TwoSat 17 Oct 14:00 UTCThe County Ground

Swindon Town v Walsall tips

SWISwindon TownDLLWW
VS
WALWalsallWDWDD
The model callWalsallMatch result2.40★★★★2 stars

Walsall bring a steady unbeaten run to Wiltshire while Swindon struggle for consistency. The away price of 2.40 offers fair value given recent form.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$48
Profit$28
Why it might land
  • Walsall arrive at The County Ground sitting unbeaten across their last five matches after picking up two wins and three draws.
  • The visitors show solid resilience on this run which includes a recent victory and hard earned points on the road.
  • Walsall are offered at a solid price of 2.40 to take all three points against a struggling opponent.
Why it might not
  • Swindon Town managed to win two of their last five matches which proves they can still pull off a surprise result.
  • Walsall have too many draws on their recent record after sharing points in three of their last five fixtures.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Walsall score regularly and Swindon should find the net at home despite their mixed form.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have been involved in tight matches recently so goals might be hard to come by.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Walsall the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Walsall, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Walsall bring a steady unbeaten run to Wiltshire while Swindon struggle for consistency. The away price of 2.40 offers fair value given recent form.

Form and momentum

Swindon Town come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 3 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Walsall come in patchy, winning 40% of 10 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 35% for SWI, 26% for the draw and 39% for WAL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.40, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Swindon Town managed to win two of their last five matches which proves they can still pull off a surprise result.
  • Walsall have too many draws on their recent record after sharing points in three of their last five fixtures.
The bottom line

We back Walsall for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsWAL +140
SWI2.65draw3.60WAL2.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SWISwindon Town8 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored9and let in12
  • At home3 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLWW
WALWalsall10 games on record
Won4
Drawn6
Lost0
  • Scored14and let in7
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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