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Betting tips › Championship ›  Swansea City v Burnley

 ChampionshipSat 12 Sept 14:00 UTCSwansea.com StadiumFinished

Swansea City v Burnley tips

SWASwansea CityLDWWD
3 : 1
BURBurnleyDLDLD
The model callSwansea CityMatch result2.20★★★★2 starsWon

Swansea have picked up some decent form lately. Burnley look stuck in a rut and cannot buy a win.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$44
Profit$24
Why it might land
  • Swansea arrive with two wins and two draws from five matches.
  • Burnley are struggling for results after three draws and two losses.
  • Home advantage at the Swansea stadium gives them a slight edge here.
Why it might not
  • Swansea failed to win their most recent outing in the league.
  • Burnley are tough to beat even when they do not win.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookLost

Burnley have been struggling in attack during recent weeks.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.91Lost

Both sides often play out tight matches without many goals scored.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Swansea City the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Swansea City, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Swansea have picked up some decent form lately. Burnley look stuck in a rut and cannot buy a win.

Form and momentum

Swansea City come in patchy, winning 40% of 40 on record. 10 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Burnley come in poor, winning 8% of 40 on record. 2 of their 21 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 46% for SWA, 27% for the draw and 27% for BUR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Swansea City, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.20, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Swansea failed to win their most recent outing in the league.
  • Burnley are tough to beat even when they do not win.
The bottom line

We back Swansea City for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
SWA2.10draw3.40BUR3.30
SourceDraftKingsSWA +105
SWA2.05draw3.55BUR3.55

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SWASwansea City40 games on record
Won16
Drawn8
Lost16
  • Scored49and let in51
  • At home10 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWWD
BURBurnley40 games on record
Won3
Drawn13
Lost24
  • Scored40and let in80
  • On the road2 winsfrom21
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Swansea v Burnley, are the Jacks worth backing?

Swansea have picked up some decent form lately and Burnley look stuck in a rut. They just cannot buy a win right now. That said Swansea failed to win their most recent outing in the league. The site m...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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