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Betting tips › Bundesliga ›  SV Elversberg v FC Augsburg

 BundesligaSat 17 Oct 13:30 UTCURSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde

SV Elversberg v FC Augsburg tips

ELVSV ElversbergDLWW
VS
FCAFC AugsburgLDWWL
The model callUnder 3.5Total goals1.69★★★★2 stars

This match looks tighter than the odds suggest with both sides capable of cancelling each other out. Expect a cautious affair where clear chances are hard to find on the pitch.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$33.8
Profit$13.8
Why it might land
  • The under line is priced at 1.69 which offers decent value for a game featuring two cautious sides.
  • FC Augsburg lost their most recent outing and might struggle to find free flowing attacking momentum away from home.
  • SV Elversberg recently secured a draw showing they can lock down a match when they need a steady result.
Why it might not
  • SV Elversberg recently put together two wins which proves they can find the net more than once on a good day.
  • FC Augsburg also managed two recent victories which suggests their attack could punch through a stubborn defence.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Recent mixed form for both teams points towards a scrappy encounter where one side might fail to score.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes SV Elversberg the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Under 3.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. This match looks tighter than the odds suggest with both sides capable of cancelling each other out. Expect a cautious affair where clear chances are hard to find on the pitch.

Form and momentum

SV Elversberg come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

FC Augsburg come in patchy, winning 37% of 38 on record. 6 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 39% for ELV, 25% for the draw and 35% for FCA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.69, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • SV Elversberg recently put together two wins which proves they can find the net more than once on a good day.
  • FC Augsburg also managed two recent victories which suggests their attack could punch through a stubborn defence.
The bottom line

We back Under 3.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
ELV2.45draw3.75FCA2.55
SourceDraftKingsELV +130
ELV2.30draw3.60FCA2.55

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ELVSV Elversberg4 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored8and let in7
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLWW
FCAFC Augsburg38 games on record
Won14
Drawn8
Lost16
  • Scored56and let in67
  • On the road6 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Thoughts on Elversberg versus Augsburg?

The site model says the draw is the play here because these teams will cancel each other out in a tight game. SV Elversberg managed two wins lately so they might be more dangerous than expected. What ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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