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Betting tips › 2. Bundesliga ›  SV Darmstadt 98 v St. Pauli

 2. BundesligaFri 23 Oct 16:30 UTCMerck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor

SV Darmstadt 98 v St. Pauli tips

SVDSV Darmstadt 98LWLLL
VS
STPSt. PauliDWDLD
The model callSt. PauliMatch result2.25★★★★2 stars

St Pauli look the steadier side despite some draws lately and the away price of 2.25 offers fair value against a struggling Darmstadt team.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$45
Profit$25
Why it might land
  • St Pauli travel here with recent results showing a win and three draws from their last five matches which is stronger than their hosts.
  • SV Darmstadt enter this fixture having suffered four defeats in their last five outings which exposes a clear lack of defensive consistency.
  • The betting market lists St Pauli as clear favourites at 2.25 which reflects their superior overall momentum in the current league table.
Why it might not
  • St Pauli have too many draws on their recent record including a stalemate last time out that might stall their progress here.
  • SV Darmstadt managed a win recently against their poor run and could spring a surprise if they replicate that performance on home soil.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Darmstadt defence struggles to keep clean sheets while St Pauli are capable of scoring.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams leak goals too often in recent outings so goals could happen.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes St. Pauli the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on St. Pauli, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. St Pauli look the steadier side despite some draws lately and the away price of 2.25 offers fair value against a struggling Darmstadt team.

Form and momentum

SV Darmstadt 98 come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

St. Pauli come in poor, winning 18% of 40 on record. 2 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 31% for SVD, 27% for the draw and 41% for STP once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.25, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • St Pauli have too many draws on their recent record including a stalemate last time out that might stall their progress here.
  • SV Darmstadt managed a win recently against their poor run and could spring a surprise if they replicate that performance on home soil.
The bottom line

We back St. Pauli for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSTP +125
SVD3.00draw3.40STP2.25

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SVDSV Darmstadt 986 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored5and let in13
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLL
STPSt. Pauli40 games on record
Won7
Drawn12
Lost21
  • Scored37and let in68
  • On the road2 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Darmstadt vs St Pauli value?

The site model calls St Pauli at 2.25 because they look steadier than struggling Darmstadt. St Pauli have too many draws lately though and that might stop them winning this. What are you lot backing h...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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