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Betting tips › 2. Bundesliga ›  SV Darmstadt 98 v Energie Cottbus

 2. BundesligaSat 10 Oct 11:00 UTCMerck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor

SV Darmstadt 98 v Energie Cottbus tips

SVDSV Darmstadt 98LWLLL
VS
COTEnergie CottbusDWDLL
The model callUnder 3.5Total goals1.74★★★★2 stars

Darmstadt and Cottbus both come into this fixture carrying poor runs of defeats that suggest a cautious approach from the first whistle. Backing under three point five goals at one point seventy four makes sense given their recent struggles to find the back of the net.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.8
Profit$14.8
Why it might land
  • Darmstadt have suffered four defeats in their last five matches and will want to tighten up defensively rather than risk another heavy loss.
  • Energie Cottbus managed just one win in their recent five outings and arrive at the Merck Stadion am Bollenfalltor with very limited scoring momentum.
  • The bookmakers offer a fair price of one point seventy four on under three point five goals for this second tier encounter on October tenth.
Why it might not
  • Energie Cottbus did manage a draw recently which shows they can sometimes grind out a result when things get tight on the road.
  • Defensive frailties for both clubs during their recent poor runs could potentially open the door for a surprising flurry of goals.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

With both teams losing multiple matches recently while struggling for goals, a clean sheet for one side is very likely.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes SV Darmstadt 98 the side to beat here at 45%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Under 3.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Darmstadt and Cottbus both come into this fixture carrying poor runs of defeats that suggest a cautious approach from the first whistle. Backing under three point five goals at one point seventy four makes sense given their recent struggles to find the back of the net.

Form and momentum

SV Darmstadt 98 come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Energie Cottbus come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 45% for SVD, 24% for the draw and 32% for COT once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward SV Darmstadt 98, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.74, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Energie Cottbus did manage a draw recently which shows they can sometimes grind out a result when things get tight on the road.
  • Defensive frailties for both clubs during their recent poor runs could potentially open the door for a surprising flurry of goals.
The bottom line

We back Under 3.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSVD +105
SVD2.05draw3.90COT2.90

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SVDSV Darmstadt 986 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored5and let in13
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLL
COTEnergie Cottbus6 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored14and let in13
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Darmstadt v Cottbus, any goals in this one?

Both sides come here on bad losing runs so expect a cagey game. Under three point five goals at one point seventy four looks smart with their current scoring form. Cottbus did grab a recent draw away ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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