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Betting tips › Serie B ›  Sudtirol v Cesena

 Serie BSat 31 Oct 14:00 UTCStadio Druso

Sudtirol v Cesena tips

SUDSudtirolWLDWD
VS
CESCesenaDDDWD
The model callSudtirolMatch result2.30★★★★2 stars

Sudtirol can edge this match at home against Cesena because their recent form shows more wins. The market offers a decent price for the hosts to take all three points.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$46
Profit$26
Why it might land
  • Sudtirol come into this fixture at Stadio Druso having recorded two wins and two draws alongside just a single defeat in their last five matches.
  • The bookmakers have priced Sudtirol at a reasonable 2.30 to win the match which offers decent value given their recent run of positive results.
  • Cesena managed only one victory in their last five outings while drawing three times and showing they struggle to turn tight encounters into wins.
Why it might not
  • Cesena are very difficult to beat as shown by their four draws in their last five matches which makes them stubborn opponents on the road.
  • Sudtirol have also drawn two of their last five games and might struggle to break down a resilient Cesena side that rarely loses heavily.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Given Cesena penchant for low scoring stalemates it is hard to back both teams to find the net at Stadio Druso.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have been involved in many tight draws recently which points towards a low scoring game below the 2.5 goals line.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Sudtirol the side to beat here at 41%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Sudtirol, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Sudtirol can edge this match at home against Cesena because their recent form shows more wins. The market offers a decent price for the hosts to take all three points.

Form and momentum

Sudtirol come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Cesena come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 draws in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 41% for SUD, 29% for the draw and 30% for CES once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Sudtirol, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Cesena are very difficult to beat as shown by their four draws in their last five matches which makes them stubborn opponents on the road.
  • Sudtirol have also drawn two of their last five games and might struggle to break down a resilient Cesena side that rarely loses heavily.
The bottom line

We back Sudtirol for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSUD +130
SUD2.30draw3.20CES3.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SUDSudtirol6 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored9and let in4
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDWD
CESCesena5 games on record
Won1
Drawn4
Lost0
  • Scored7and let in6
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now3 draws in a row
Last fiveDDDWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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