Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › Serie B ›  Sudtirol v Ascoli

 Serie BSat 10 Oct 13:00 UTCStadio Druso

Sudtirol v Ascoli tips

SUDSudtirolWLDWD
VS
ASCAscoliWLWDW
The model callUnder 2.5Total goals1.74★★★★2 stars

This match at Stadio Druso looks tight and low scoring based on recent form. Both sides show mixed results where matches rarely turn into high scoring shootouts.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.8
Profit$14.8
Why it might land
  • Sudtirol enters this fixture after a mixed run containing draws and narrow outcomes that point toward a low scoring battle.
  • Ascoli brings a similarly unpredictable run of results to the pitch where defenses usually manage to keep scorelines quite respectable.
  • The market price of 1.74 for under 2.5 goals offers fair value for a tight game between two evenly matched Italian sides.
Why it might not
  • Sudtirol did manage to secure a win recently which shows they can break defensive lines when the opportunity arises.
  • Ascoli also grabbed a couple of victories in their last five outings proving they are capable of finding the back of the net.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Given the recent form and low scoring patterns of both clubs, at least one defense should manage a clean sheet.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Sudtirol the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Under 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. This match at Stadio Druso looks tight and low scoring based on recent form. Both sides show mixed results where matches rarely turn into high scoring shootouts.

Form and momentum

Sudtirol come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Ascoli come in strong, winning 60% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 38% for SUD, 30% for the draw and 32% for ASC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.74, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Sudtirol did manage to secure a win recently which shows they can break defensive lines when the opportunity arises.
  • Ascoli also grabbed a couple of victories in their last five outings proving they are capable of finding the back of the net.
The bottom line

We back Under 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSUD +145
SUD2.45draw3.05ASC2.90

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SUDSudtirol6 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored9and let in4
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDWD
ASCAscoli5 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored7and let in4
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Sudtirol v Ascoli, any goals in this?

The site model says the draw is the play because recent form points to a tight game with few goals at Stadio Druso. On the other hand, Sudtirol did win a match lately so they might break through. What...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW