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Betting tips › League One ›  Stevenage v Milton Keynes Dons

 League OneSat 24 Oct 14:00 UTCLamex Stadium

Stevenage v Milton Keynes Dons tips

STEStevenageWLWWD
VS
MKDMilton Keynes DonsWDDDL
The model callStevenageMatch result1.91★★★★2 stars

Stevenage are at home and hold a stronger recent form run than Milton Keynes Dons. The price offers fair value for a side winning three of their last five matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • Stevenage enter this fixture at the Lamex Stadium with three wins from their last five matches in a strong run of recent form.
  • The bookmakers offer a price of 1.91 for Stevenage to win which provides a solid return given their recent winning momentum.
  • Milton Keynes Dons travel here having failed to win four of their last five outings including a defeat and three draws.
Why it might not
  • Stevenage did drop points recently with a draw and a loss in their last five matches which shows they can be vulnerable.
  • Milton Keynes Dons have proven hard to beat in recent weeks by drawing three of their last five matches on the bounce.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have enough scoring recent results to make goals at both ends possible here.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side shows a heavy scoring pattern in their recent results to suggest a high scoring match.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Stevenage the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Stevenage, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Stevenage are at home and hold a stronger recent form run than Milton Keynes Dons. The price offers fair value for a side winning three of their last five matches.

Form and momentum

Stevenage come in patchy, winning 35% of 40 on record. 9 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Milton Keynes Dons come in poor, winning 13% of 8 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 49% for STE, 27% for the draw and 24% for MKD once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Stevenage, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Stevenage did drop points recently with a draw and a loss in their last five matches which shows they can be vulnerable.
  • Milton Keynes Dons have proven hard to beat in recent weeks by drawing three of their last five matches on the bounce.
The bottom line

We back Stevenage for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSTE -110
STE1.91draw3.45MKD3.95

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

STEStevenage40 games on record
Won14
Drawn11
Lost15
  • Scored39and let in47
  • At home9 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWD
MKDMilton Keynes Dons8 games on record
Won1
Drawn6
Lost1
  • Scored15and let in11
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDDDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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