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Betting tips › 2. Bundesliga ›  St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg

 2. BundesligaSun 1 Nov 12:30 UTCMillerntor-Stadion

St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg tips

STPSt. PauliDWDLD
VS
FCN1. FC NürnbergWWDWW
The model call1. FC NürnbergMatch result3.10★★★★2 stars

Nurnberg arrive in stellar winning form and look well priced at three point one zero to take all three points here. St Pauli keep drawing too many matches and might struggle to contain their visitors at the Millerntor Stadion.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$62
Profit$42
Why it might land
  • One FC Nurnberg enter this fixture with an impressive run of form that includes four wins and just one draw from their last five matches.
  • The bookmakers offer a generous price of three point one zero for an away win given how well the visiting team have been playing recently.
  • St Pauli have shown a tendency to share the points rather than win after recording three draws along with one loss and one victory in their last five.
Why it might not
  • St Pauli will have the backing of their home crowd at the Millerntor Stadion which could help them turn their recent draws into a much better performance.
  • One FC Nurnberg might find it difficult to maintain their winning streak away from home against a stubborn side that is very hard to beat.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Nurnberg are scoring freely in their matches while St Pauli usually find a way to score at home despite their draws.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown enough recent activity to suggest goals could happen even though the total line is not priced.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes St. Pauli the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on 1. FC Nürnberg, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Nurnberg arrive in stellar winning form and look well priced at three point one zero to take all three points here. St Pauli keep drawing too many matches and might struggle to contain their visitors at the Millerntor Stadion.

Form and momentum

St. Pauli come in poor, winning 18% of 40 on record. 5 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

1. FC Nürnberg come in strong, winning 83% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 44% for STP, 26% for the draw and 30% for FCN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward St. Pauli, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 3.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • St Pauli will have the backing of their home crowd at the Millerntor Stadion which could help them turn their recent draws into a much better performance.
  • One FC Nurnberg might find it difficult to maintain their winning streak away from home against a stubborn side that is very hard to beat.
The bottom line

We back 1. FC Nürnberg for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSTP +115
STP2.15draw3.60FCN3.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

STPSt. Pauli40 games on record
Won7
Drawn12
Lost21
  • Scored37and let in68
  • At home5 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDLD
FCN1. FC Nürnberg6 games on record
Won5
Drawn1
Lost0
  • Scored16and let in6
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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