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Betting tips › Scottish Premiership ›  St Mirren v Dundee United

 Scottish PremiershipSat 19 Sept 14:00 UTCThe SMISA StadiumFinished

St Mirren v Dundee United tips

STMSt MirrenLLWDW
0 : 3
DUNDundee UnitedDLWLL
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.57★★★★2 starsWon

We are backing goals at the SMISA stadium because both sides show erratic defensive form in recent fixtures. The price on offer for over two point five goals makes sense given the defensive vulnerabilities on display.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$31.4
Profit$11.4
Why it might land
  • St Mirren enter this fixture following a mixed sequence of results including two recent losses and two wins that highlight defensive frailties.
  • Dundee United arrive after suffering three defeats across their last five outings while leaking goals with alarming regularity.
  • The odds for the total goals market are set attractively with over two point five goals paying well above even money at one point five seven.
Why it might not
  • St Mirren recorded a recent low scoring draw which proves they can occasionally grind out a tight match without many goals.
  • Dundee United failed to find the back of the net in more than one of their recent outings which could limit the scoring tally.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Both teams to score looks likely since neither side has maintained a solid defensive run across their last five matches.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes St Mirren the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We are backing goals at the SMISA stadium because both sides show erratic defensive form in recent fixtures. The price on offer for over two point five goals makes sense given the defensive vulnerabilities on display.

Form and momentum

St Mirren come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Dundee United come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 40% for STM, 26% for the draw and 34% for DUN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.57, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • St Mirren recorded a recent low scoring draw which proves they can occasionally grind out a tight match without many goals.
  • Dundee United failed to find the back of the net in more than one of their recent outings which could limit the scoring tally.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSTM +130
STM2.30draw3.55DUN2.75

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

STMSt Mirren5 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored6and let in6
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWDW
DUNDundee United5 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored5and let in10
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLWLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

St Mirren v Dundee United goals call

The site model says we are backing goals at the SMISA stadium because both sides show erratic defensive form in recent fixtures. The price on offer for over two point five goals makes sense given the ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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