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Betting tips › 2. Bundesliga ›  SpVgg Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Magdeburg

 2. BundesligaFri 18 Sept 16:30 UTCSportpark Ronhof - Thomas SommerFinished

SpVgg Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Magdeburg tips

SGFSpVgg Greuther FürthDLWLD
1 : 1
FCM1. FC MagdeburgWLWWL
The model callOver 3.5Total goals2.20★★★★2 starsLost

We should see goals here because the odds suggest an open match and both sides have mixed results recently. Magdeburg arrives with a varied run of form that includes several high scoring matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$44
Profit$24
Why it might land
  • The bookmakers offer a generous price of 2.20 for over 3.5 total goals in this fixture.
  • Magdeburg has shown an unpredictable scoring pattern with alternating wins and losses across their last five matches.
  • Greuther Furth enters this home fixture after picking up a draw and two losses in their recent sequence.
Why it might not
  • Greuther Furth has struggled to find consistent scoring form lately which could keep the total score down.
  • Magdeburg recently suffered a defeat where their attack failed to click against stubborn defensive opponents.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Both teams to score is a reasonable punt given the inconsistent defensive records visible in recent results.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes 1. FC Magdeburg the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 3.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We should see goals here because the odds suggest an open match and both sides have mixed results recently. Magdeburg arrives with a varied run of form that includes several high scoring matches.

Form and momentum

SpVgg Greuther Fürth come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 0 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

1. FC Magdeburg come in strong, winning 60% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 36% for SGF, 26% for the draw and 38% for FCM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.20, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Greuther Furth has struggled to find consistent scoring form lately which could keep the total score down.
  • Magdeburg recently suffered a defeat where their attack failed to click against stubborn defensive opponents.
The bottom line

We back Over 3.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsFCM +145
SGF2.55draw3.60FCM2.45

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SGFSpVgg Greuther Fürth5 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored8and let in10
  • At home0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLWLD
FCM1. FC Magdeburg5 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost2
  • Scored10and let in8
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Furth vs Magdeburg draw? What are you all backing?

The site model calls this a draw because the odds point to an open game and Magdeburg often features in high scoring matches. The counter point is that Furth has lacked consistent scoring form recentl...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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