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Betting tips › Primera Division ›  Sportivo Trinidense v Libertad

 Primera DivisionThu 22 Oct 18:00 UTC

Sportivo Trinidense v Libertad tips

CSTSportivo TrinidenseWLWLW
VS
LIBLibertadDWWLD
The model callLibertadMatch result2.35★★★★2 stars

Libertad are narrow favourites on paper and their recent draw against a mixed run gives them enough edge here. Sportivo Trinidense keep trading wins and losses in their last five matches which makes them hard to trust at home.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$47
Profit$27
Why it might land
  • Libertad are priced at 2.35 to win which gives decent value for a side with stronger recent consistency.
  • Sportivo Trinidense show a volatile pattern of alternating results by winning and losing their last five matches in turn.
  • Libertad avoided defeat in their most recent outing by securing a draw to keep some momentum rolling forward.
Why it might not
  • Libertad stumbled recently with a loss in their last five matches showing they are far from completely unbeatable.
  • Sportivo Trinidense managed to win three of their last five matches which proves they can bite on their home turf.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Sportivo Trinidense trade wins and losses so often that both teams usually find a way onto the scoresheet.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides show mixed scoring form recently so guessing goals is a real coin toss.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Libertad the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Libertad, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Libertad are narrow favourites on paper and their recent draw against a mixed run gives them enough edge here. Sportivo Trinidense keep trading wins and losses in their last five matches which makes them hard to trust at home.

Form and momentum

Sportivo Trinidense come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Libertad come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 33% for CST, 28% for the draw and 40% for LIB once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Libertad stumbled recently with a loss in their last five matches showing they are far from completely unbeatable.
  • Sportivo Trinidense managed to win three of their last five matches which proves they can bite on their home turf.
The bottom line

We back Libertad for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsLIB +135
CST2.85draw3.35LIB2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CSTSportivo Trinidense7 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored9and let in6
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWLW
LIBLibertad6 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored9and let in7
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWWLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Trinidense or Libertad?

Libertad are narrow favourites on paper and their recent draw against a mixed run gives them enough edge here, while Sportivo Trinidense keep trading wins and losses in their last five matches which m...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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