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Betting tips › Primera Division ›  Sportivo Trinidense v Guaraní

 Primera DivisionFri 18 Sept 19:00 UTCEstadio Martín TorresFinished

Sportivo Trinidense v Guaraní tips

CSTSportivo TrinidenseWLWLD
0 : 1
GUAGuaraníDWDDD
The model callSportivo TrinidenseMatch result2.15★★★★2 starsLost

Sportivo Trinidense holds a decent price at home against a stubborn Guaraní side. We back the hosts to edge a tight contest at Estadio Martín Torres.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$43
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • Sportivo Trinidense returns to their home ground after putting together a mixed run of form that includes two wins from their last five matches.
  • The price of 2.15 on offer for a Sportivo Trinidense win gives us enough value to back the hosts in front of their own supporters.
  • Guaraní arrives here having drawn four of their last five matches and struggles to turn those stalemate results into three points on the road.
Why it might not
  • Guaraní remains tough to beat recently as shown by their four draws in their last five fixtures which could easily frustrate the hosts here.
  • Sportivo Trinidense alternates wins and losses too frequently across their recent matches to suggest this will be a straightforward afternoon for backers.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookWon

Both teams to score no is a reasonable look since Guaraní draws so many tight games.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.65Won

Under 2.5 goals looks likely because Guaraní draws so many low scoring matches lately.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Sportivo Trinidense the side to beat here at 42%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Sportivo Trinidense, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Sportivo Trinidense holds a decent price at home against a stubborn Guaraní side. We back the hosts to edge a tight contest at Estadio Martín Torres.

Form and momentum

Sportivo Trinidense come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 0 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Guaraní come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 42% for CST, 30% for the draw and 29% for GUA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Sportivo Trinidense, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Guaraní remains tough to beat recently as shown by their four draws in their last five fixtures which could easily frustrate the hosts here.
  • Sportivo Trinidense alternates wins and losses too frequently across their recent matches to suggest this will be a straightforward afternoon for backers.
The bottom line

We back Sportivo Trinidense for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCST +115
CST2.15draw3.05GUA3.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CSTSportivo Trinidense5 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored7and let in4
  • At home0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWLD
GUAGuaraní5 games on record
Won1
Drawn4
Lost0
  • Scored5and let in3
  • On the road0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Trinidense at home to Guaraní

The site model fancies Sportivo Trinidense at 2.15 on home turf against Guaraní. The worry is that Guaraní keep drawing games and might frustrate them for ninety minutes. What is everyone else on for ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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