Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › Primera Division ›  Sportivo San Lorenzo v Deportivo Recoleta

 Primera DivisionMon 28 Sept 20:00 UTCEstadio Gunther Vogel

Sportivo San Lorenzo v Deportivo Recoleta tips

SSLSportivo San LorenzoLLLLL
VS
DEPDeportivo RecoletaLLLLL
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.80★★★★1 star

Both sides bring terrible losing runs into this match at Estadio Gunther Vogel making goals the safer angle to back. Neither defence looks capable of keeping a clean sheet based on recent form.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$18
Profit$8
Why it might land
  • Sportivo San Lorenzo enter this fixture after suffering five consecutive defeats in their most recent matches.
  • Deportivo Recoleta arrive at the ground having also lost five matches in a row in the league.
  • The total goals line is set at 2.5 with a price of 1.80 available on the over selection.
Why it might not
  • Both teams have shown very poor attacking output during their respective five match losing sequences.
  • It is hard to trust either side to score enough goals to clear the line given their current form.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Neither team can defend properly right now which should lead to mistakes and goals at both ends.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Deportivo Recoleta the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Both sides bring terrible losing runs into this match at Estadio Gunther Vogel making goals the safer angle to back. Neither defence looks capable of keeping a clean sheet based on recent form.

Form and momentum

Sportivo San Lorenzo come in poor, winning 0% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 6 losss in a row.

Deportivo Recoleta come in poor, winning 0% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 6 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 32% for SSL, 29% for the draw and 39% for DEP once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Both teams have shown very poor attacking output during their respective five match losing sequences.
  • It is hard to trust either side to score enough goals to clear the line given their current form.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsDEP +130
SSL2.80draw3.15DEP2.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SSLSportivo San Lorenzo6 games on record
Won0
Drawn0
Lost6
  • Scored2and let in13
  • At homeno winsfrom3
  • Right now6 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLL
DEPDeportivo Recoleta6 games on record
Won0
Drawn0
Lost6
  • Scored4and let in14
  • On the roadno winsfrom3
  • Right now6 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW