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Betting tips › Primera Division ›  Sportivo Luqueño v Sportivo San Lorenzo

 Primera DivisionThu 22 Oct 18:00 UTC

Sportivo Luqueño v Sportivo San Lorenzo tips

LUQSportivo LuqueñoLWLLD
VS
SSLSportivo San LorenzoLLLLL
The model callSportivo LuqueñoMatch result1.83★★★★2 stars

Sportivo Luqueño should grab the three points here because their recent form shows a win while the visitors keep losing every single match. The bookmakers offer a fair price of 1.83 for the home win.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36.6
Profit$16.6
Why it might land
  • Sportivo Luqueño comes into this fixture after securing a recent win while their opponents continue to struggle badly.
  • Sportivo San Lorenzo travels here on a terrible run of five consecutive defeats in their most recent outings.
  • The market prices Sportivo Luqueño at 1.83 to win which offers a solid return given the opposing awful form.
Why it might not
  • Sportivo Luqueño has been wildly inconsistent lately having recorded three losses and a draw in their other recent matches.
  • Sportivo San Lorenzo might desperately fight for any result to stop their dreadful losing streak on the road.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

The away side is losing constantly and might struggle to find the back of the net in this fixture.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no prices for the goal lines so it is hard to back totals with any real conviction.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Sportivo Luqueño the side to beat here at 50%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Sportivo Luqueño, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Sportivo Luqueño should grab the three points here because their recent form shows a win while the visitors keep losing every single match. The bookmakers offer a fair price of 1.83 for the home win.

Form and momentum

Sportivo Luqueño come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Sportivo San Lorenzo come in poor, winning 0% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 6 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 50% for LUQ, 27% for the draw and 23% for SSL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Sportivo Luqueño, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.83, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Sportivo Luqueño has been wildly inconsistent lately having recorded three losses and a draw in their other recent matches.
  • Sportivo San Lorenzo might desperately fight for any result to stop their dreadful losing streak on the road.
The bottom line

We back Sportivo Luqueño for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsLUQ -120
LUQ1.83draw3.45SSL4.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

LUQSportivo Luqueño7 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored6and let in11
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLD
SSLSportivo San Lorenzo6 games on record
Won0
Drawn0
Lost6
  • Scored2and let in13
  • On the roadno winsfrom3
  • Right now6 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Luqueño to beat San Lorenzo?

The site model goes for a home win at 1.83 because Luqueño won their last match while San Lorenzo keep losing every single game. On the other hand, Luqueño have been proper dodgy with three losses and...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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