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Betting tips › Brazil Serie B ›  Sport v Fortaleza

 Brazil Serie BFri 16 Oct 23:30 UTCIlha do Retiro

Sport v Fortaleza tips

SPOSportLWLWL
VS
FORFortalezaDWDWW
The model callFortalezaMatch result2.80★★★★2 stars

Fortaleza arrive in strong form with three wins and two draws from their last five matches. Sport struggle for consistency as they alternate losses and wins across their recent fixtures.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$56
Profit$36
Why it might land
  • Fortaleza bring an impressive unbeaten run of three wins and two draws into this fixture at Ilha do Retiro.
  • Sport show glaring inconsistency by losing three of their last five matches in a choppy run of form.
  • Fortaleza are available at a tempting price of 2.80 to claim an away victory against unpredictable opponents.
Why it might not
  • Sport managed to secure wins in two of their last five matches and can pull off a surprise result at home.
  • Fortaleza have recorded two draws in their recent five games which shows they can drop points on the road.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown mixed defensive outcomes recently which suggests each team might find the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

The bookmakers did not price the total goals line which makes any total selection purely speculative.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Sport the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Fortaleza, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Fortaleza arrive in strong form with three wins and two draws from their last five matches. Sport struggle for consistency as they alternate losses and wins across their recent fixtures.

Form and momentum

Sport come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 3 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Fortaleza come in solid, winning 50% of 8 on record. 3 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 38% for SPO, 28% for the draw and 34% for FOR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Sport managed to secure wins in two of their last five matches and can pull off a surprise result at home.
  • Fortaleza have recorded two draws in their recent five games which shows they can drop points on the road.
The bottom line

We back Fortaleza for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSPO +150
SPO2.50draw3.35FOR2.80

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SPOSport8 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost5
  • Scored12and let in12
  • At home3 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLWL
FORFortaleza8 games on record
Won4
Drawn4
Lost0
  • Scored11and let in6
  • On the road3 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Sport vs Fortaleza who wins this one

Fortaleza come here in strong form with three wins and two draws from their last five. Sport struggle for consistency and alternate wins and losses in recent fixtures. The site model calls Fortaleza. ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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