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Betting tips › Brazil Serie B ›  Sport v Criciúma

 Brazil Serie BFri 23 Oct 18:00 UTC

Sport v Criciúma tips

SPOSportLWLWL
VS
CRICriciúmaWLLLW
The model callSportMatch result2.35★★★★2 stars

Sport have home advantage and are priced at 2.35 to take three points against Criciúma. Both sides show very mixed recent runs of alternating wins and losses.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$47
Profit$27
Why it might land
  • Sport play this fixture at home where the market prices them at 2.35 to get the win.
  • Criciúma arrive here having just grabbed a win after a tough run of three consecutive defeats.
  • Sport alternate every single match in their last five results with a win following every loss.
Why it might not
  • Sport lost their most recent match which makes relying on their alternating form a risky business.
  • Criciúma just secured a victory in their latest outing and might carry some momentum into this away fixture.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown any defensive stability lately with both squads trading wins and losses constantly.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no pricing data for the goals line and both teams show wildly inconsistent scoring form.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Sport the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Sport, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Sport have home advantage and are priced at 2.35 to take three points against Criciúma. Both sides show very mixed recent runs of alternating wins and losses.

Form and momentum

Sport come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 3 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Criciúma come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 40% for SPO, 29% for the draw and 31% for CRI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Sport lost their most recent match which makes relying on their alternating form a risky business.
  • Criciúma just secured a victory in their latest outing and might carry some momentum into this away fixture.
The bottom line

We back Sport for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSPO +135
SPO2.35draw3.20CRI2.95

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SPOSport8 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost5
  • Scored12and let in12
  • At home3 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLWL
CRICriciúma8 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored7and let in13
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Sport or Criciúma for this one?

The site model has Sport at 2.35 to use home advantage and beat Criciúma. Both teams are on patchy runs with wins and losses mixed together. Sport lost their last game though so relying on that altern...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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