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Betting tips › National League ›  Solihull Moors v Barrow

 National LeagueTue 15 Sept 18:45 UTCARMCO AreanaFinished

Solihull Moors v Barrow tips

SOLSolihull MoorsLDLLL
1 : 0
BRWBarrowDWDLD
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.69★★★★2 starsLost

We expect goals at the Armco Arena because neither defence looks secure right now. The market agrees by pricing over 2.5 goals at a reasonable figure.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$33.8
Profit$13.8
Why it might land
  • Solihull Moors come into this fixture on a tough run that includes four recent defeats and zero clean sheets in those matches.
  • Barrow arrive with mixed recent form containing two draws and a win which keeps them moving forward in the National League standings.
  • Bookmakers offer a price of 1.69 on over 2.5 goals which suggests the odds compilers expect an open game on Tuesday night.
Why it might not
  • Barrow also recorded a recent scoreless draw which shows they can sometimes struggle to break down stubborn defensive setups away from home.
  • Solihull Moors are struggling badly for goals after losing four out of their last five matches in this division.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Defensive frailties on both sides suggest each team will find the net during the ninety minutes.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Barrow the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We expect goals at the Armco Arena because neither defence looks secure right now. The market agrees by pricing over 2.5 goals at a reasonable figure.

Form and momentum

Solihull Moors come in poor, winning 0% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Barrow come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 35% for SOL, 26% for the draw and 39% for BRW once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.69, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Barrow also recorded a recent scoreless draw which shows they can sometimes struggle to break down stubborn defensive setups away from home.
  • Solihull Moors are struggling badly for goals after losing four out of their last five matches in this division.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsBRW +135
SOL2.60draw3.50BRW2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SOLSolihull Moors7 games on record
Won0
Drawn1
Lost6
  • Scored7and let in19
  • At homeno winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDLLL
BRWBarrow7 games on record
Won1
Drawn3
Lost3
  • Scored10and let in11
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Goals in Solihull v Barrow?

The site model calls the draw here. We expect goals because both defences look leaky right now and the price on overs looks fair. On the other hand Barrow had a scoreless draw lately away from home so...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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