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Betting tips › Champions League ›  Slavia Prague v Lens

 Champions LeagueThu 10 Sept 19:00 UTCFortuna ArenaFinished

Slavia Prague v Lens tips

SLPSlavia PragueLLLDL
2 : 3
RCLLensLLWWL
The model callLensMatch result2.65★★★★2 starsWon

I expect Lens to secure an away win against a struggling Slavia Prague side. The visitors have shown flashes of quality with two wins recently while the home team cannot buy a victory.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$53
Profit$33
Why it might land
  • Lens offer attractive value at a decimal price of 2.65 after winning two of their last five matches in all competitions.
  • Slavia Prague enter this home fixture in dreadful shape having failed to win any of their last five matches overall.
  • The hosts have lost four of their last five fixtures, which makes supporting the away win at 2.65 very sensible.
Why it might not
  • Lens lost their most recent outing and have suffered three defeats across their previous five fixtures in total.
  • Slavia Prague managed a draw during their five game run and are priced reasonably close at 2.60 at home.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Both teams have suffered multiple defeats in their last five matches so goals could flow at both ends.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.74Won

Over 2.5 goals is priced short at 1.74 which suggests bookmakers expect plenty of action here.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Lens the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Lens, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. I expect Lens to secure an away win against a struggling Slavia Prague side. The visitors have shown flashes of quality with two wins recently while the home team cannot buy a victory.

Form and momentum

Slavia Prague come in poor, winning 0% of 8 on record. 0 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

Lens come in strong, winning 62% of 37 on record. 8 of their 18 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 34% for SLP, 27% for the draw and 39% for RCL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.65, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Lens lost their most recent outing and have suffered three defeats across their previous five fixtures in total.
  • Slavia Prague managed a draw during their five game run and are priced reasonably close at 2.60 at home.
The bottom line

We back Lens for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
SLP2.80draw3.60RCL2.30
SourceDraftKingsRCL +145
SLP2.80draw3.50RCL2.45

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SLPSlavia Prague8 games on record
Won0
Drawn3
Lost5
  • Scored5and let in19
  • At homeno winsfrom4
  • Right now3 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLDL
RCLLens37 games on record
Won23
Drawn4
Lost10
  • Scored72and let in40
  • On the road8 winsfrom18
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Slavia Prague vs Lens: Backing the visitors?

The site model likes Lens at 2.40 despite their recent loss. Slavia look poor with four defeats in a row. It is a worry that Lens lost their last game before this trip. What are you lot backing here?

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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