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Betting tips › Europa League ›  SK Sturm Graz v Marseille

 Europa LeagueThu 22 Oct 16:45 UTCMerkur Arena

SK Sturm Graz v Marseille tips

STGSK Sturm GrazLDWLD
VS
OLMMarseilleLLLLL
The model callMarseilleMatch result2.00★★★★1 star

Marseille are priced at two point zero despite losing five matches in a row. Sturm Graz are at three point five with a mixed recent run of losses and draws.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$20
Profit$10
Why it might land
  • Marseille are available at a price of two point zero to win the match outright away from home.
  • SK Sturm Graz come into this fixture having failed to win three of their last five matches in all competitions.
  • The away side hold a shorter price in the market reflecting the expectation of their superiority in the fixture.
Why it might not
  • Marseille arrive at the Merkur Arena on a miserable run of form that includes five consecutive defeats in their recent results.
  • SK Sturm Graz are playing at home and have avoided defeat in three of their last five outings despite inconsistent form.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams show mixed defensive form in their recent results which suggests goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 2.75 goalsPrice 1.88

The total goals line is set at two point seven5 with the over priced at one point eight eight.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Marseille the side to beat here at 47%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Marseille, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Marseille are priced at two point zero despite losing five matches in a row. Sturm Graz are at three point five with a mixed recent run of losses and draws.

Form and momentum

SK Sturm Graz come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Marseille come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 7 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 5 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 27% for STG, 26% for the draw and 47% for OLM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Marseille, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.00, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Marseille arrive at the Merkur Arena on a miserable run of form that includes five consecutive defeats in their recent results.
  • SK Sturm Graz are playing at home and have avoided defeat in three of their last five outings despite inconsistent form.
The bottom line

We back Marseille for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
STG3.50draw3.70OLM2.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

STGSK Sturm Graz7 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored7and let in8
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWLD
OLMMarseille40 games on record
Won17
Drawn5
Lost18
  • Scored65and let in64
  • On the road7 winsfrom20
  • Right now5 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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