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Betting tips › Austrian Bundesliga ›  SK Sturm Graz v LASK Linz

 Austrian BundesligaSun 13 Sept 15:00 UTCMerkur ArenaFinished

SK Sturm Graz v LASK Linz tips

STGSK Sturm GrazLDWW
2 : 1
LASLASK LinzLWWWW
The model callLASK LinzMatch result2.10★★★★2 starsLost

LASK are in great form with four straight wins recently. Sturm Graz look shaky after their loss in the last match.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$42
Profit$22
Why it might land
  • LASK are currently unbeaten in their last four matches in the league.
  • Sturm Graz lost their last game while LASK are winning every week.
  • The odds of two point one zero offer value for the visitors.
Why it might not
  • Sturm Graz are playing at home where they have strong local support.
  • The price of three point zero suggests the bookies expect a fight.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Sturm will likely score at home despite their recent loss to LASK.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice 2.20Lost

Both sides have shown they can find the net in recent weeks.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes LASK Linz the side to beat here at 48%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on LASK Linz, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. LASK are in great form with four straight wins recently. Sturm Graz look shaky after their loss in the last match.

Form and momentum

SK Sturm Graz come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

LASK Linz come in strong, winning 80% of 5 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 27% for STG, 25% for the draw and 48% for LAS once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward LASK Linz, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Sturm Graz are playing at home where they have strong local support.
  • The price of three point zero suggests the bookies expect a fight.
The bottom line

We back LASK Linz for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
STG3.50draw3.75LAS1.91
SourceDraftKingsLAS -105
STG3.45draw3.80LAS1.95

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

STGSK Sturm Graz4 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored5and let in4
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWW
LASLASK Linz5 games on record
Won4
Drawn0
Lost1
  • Scored12and let in3
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Sturm Graz v LASK Linz, who wins?

The site model goes for LASK Linz here because they won four in a row and Sturm Graz lost last time. Sturm Graz have strong home support though which might change things. What are you all on for this ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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