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Betting tips › J1 League ›  Shimizu S-Pulse v Machida Zelvia

 J1 LeagueWed 21 Oct 10:00 UTCIAI Stadium Nihondaira

Shimizu S-Pulse v Machida Zelvia tips

SHIShimizu S-PulseWWLDL
VS
ZELMachida ZelviaLDWWD
The model callMachida ZelviaMatch result2.10★★★★2 stars

Machida Zelvia bring the steadier form into this trip to Shizuoka. They look solid value at two point one to win.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$42
Profit$22
Why it might land
  • Machida Zelvia arrive with a decent recent run that includes two wins and two draws from their last five matches.
  • Shimizu S Pulse have been struggling for consistency lately because they lost three of their last five outings.
  • The away win price of two point one offers a very fair return on a Machida side showing better overall form.
Why it might not
  • Machida Zelvia did suffer a recent defeat and also drew their last match so they are not unbeatable on the road.
  • Shimizu S Pulse have home advantage at IAI Stadium Nihondaira which always makes any opponent work hard for points.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have mixed defensive records lately which suggests we might see goals at both ends of the pitch.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no prices for the goal line so it is hard to guess how the bookmaker views the scoring potential.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Machida Zelvia the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Machida Zelvia, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Machida Zelvia bring the steadier form into this trip to Shizuoka. They look solid value at two point one to win.

Form and momentum

Shimizu S-Pulse come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 2 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Machida Zelvia come in strong, winning 63% of 8 on record. 3 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 28% for SHI, 27% for the draw and 44% for ZEL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Machida Zelvia, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Machida Zelvia did suffer a recent defeat and also drew their last match so they are not unbeatable on the road.
  • Shimizu S Pulse have home advantage at IAI Stadium Nihondaira which always makes any opponent work hard for points.
The bottom line

We back Machida Zelvia for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsZEL +110
SHI3.30draw3.40ZEL2.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SHIShimizu S-Pulse8 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored6and let in8
  • At home2 winsfrom5
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLDL
ZELMachida Zelvia8 games on record
Won5
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored21and let in10
  • On the road3 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Machida Zelvia to beat Shimizu S Pulse?

The site model goes for Machida Zelvia at 2.10 because they bring the steadier form. They did draw their last match and lost recently though so they are far from bulletproof. What are people on for th...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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