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Betting tips › Champions League ›  Shakhtar Donetsk v AEK Athens

 Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct 19:00 UTCStamford Bridge

Shakhtar Donetsk v AEK Athens tips

SHKShakhtar DonetskD
VS
AEKAEK AthensWDWWD
The model callAEK AthensMatch result2.50★★★★1 star

AEK Athens arrive in decent form and the price offers some appeal away from home. Shakhtar Donetsk managed only a draw recently and might struggle here.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$25
Profit$15
Why it might land
  • AEK Athens bring a strong recent run of form into this match after picking up three wins and two draws from their last five outings.
  • Shakhtar Donetsk could only manage a draw in their most recent fixture and show very little momentum heading onto the Stamford Bridge turf.
  • The market prices AEK Athens at 2.50 to win this fixture which gives us a fair price on the team with the better unbeaten run.
Why it might not
  • AEK Athens picked up a couple of draws in that recent five match sequence which proves they can still drop points against determined opponents.
  • Shakhtar Donetsk play this fixture at a neutral ground rather than their usual home which removes any traditional advantage they might expect.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown enough scoring form recently to suggest each team will find the net at least once.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.80

The price sits at 1.80 for over two goals which suggests a decent chance of an open game.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes AEK Athens the side to beat here at 37%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on AEK Athens, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. AEK Athens arrive in decent form and the price offers some appeal away from home. Shakhtar Donetsk managed only a draw recently and might struggle here.

Form and momentum

Shakhtar Donetsk come in poor, winning 0% of 1 on record. they have little home form banked, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

AEK Athens come in strong, winning 67% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 35% for SHK, 27% for the draw and 37% for AEK once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.50, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • AEK Athens picked up a couple of draws in that recent five match sequence which proves they can still drop points against determined opponents.
  • Shakhtar Donetsk play this fixture at a neutral ground rather than their usual home which removes any traditional advantage they might expect.
The bottom line

We back AEK Athens for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
SHK2.60draw3.50AEK2.60
SourceDraftKingsAEK +150
SHK2.65draw3.45AEK2.50

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SHKShakhtar Donetsk1 games on record
Won0
Drawn1
Lost0
  • Scored1and let in1
  • At homeno winsfrom0
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveD
AEKAEK Athens6 games on record
Won4
Drawn2
Lost0
  • Scored14and let in3
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

AEK Athens against Shakhtar?

The site model calls AEK Athens at 2.50 because they come in decent form and Shakhtar only managed a draw last time out. The catch is that AEK picked up two draws in their last five games so they stil...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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