Betting tips › Bundesliga › SC Paderborn 07 v Hamburg SV
BundesligaSat 24 Oct 13:30 UTCHome Deluxe ArenaSC Paderborn 07 v Hamburg SV tips
SC Paderborn 07WLLD
Hamburg SVWLLLDWe expect goals because both sides have struggled to keep clean sheets recently. The price on over three goals looks fair given how these teams defend.
- SC Paderborn 07 enter this fixture after a mixed run of form that includes a recent win and two losses alongside one draw.
- Hamburg SV come into this match having picked up just one win and a draw alongside three losses in their last five outings.
- The bookmakers offer a price of 1.98 for over three goals which gives us a decent return on a match between two leaky defenses.
- SC Paderborn 07 failed to find consistency in their recent matches which could lead to a cagey affair if they try to tighten up.
- Hamburg SV managed only one win in their last five fixtures and might struggle to contribute enough goals on their own to push past three.
Both teams tend to score and concede in their recent matches which points towards goals at both ends.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes SC Paderborn 07 the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 3, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We expect goals because both sides have struggled to keep clean sheets recently. The price on over three goals looks fair given how these teams defend.
SC Paderborn 07 come in poor, winning 25% of 4 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
Hamburg SV come in poor, winning 26% of 38 on record. 3 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
The prices turn into 43% for SCP, 25% for the draw and 32% for HSV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward SC Paderborn 07, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.98, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
- SC Paderborn 07 failed to find consistency in their recent matches which could lead to a cagey affair if they try to tighten up.
- Hamburg SV managed only one win in their last five fixtures and might struggle to contribute enough goals on their own to push past three.
We back Over 3 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
SC Paderborn 074 games on record- Scored3and let in5
- At home1 winsfrom2
- Right now1 win in a row
Hamburg SV38 games on record- Scored42and let in67
- On the road3 winsfrom19
- Right now1 win in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.