Betting tips › Serie A › Sassuolo v Fiorentina
Serie AMon 2 Nov 17:30 UTCMapei StadiumSassuolo v Fiorentina tips
SassuoloLWDDW
FiorentinaDWWLLFiorentina travel to the Mapei Stadium with a fair price attached to them despite mixed recent form. Sassuolo are up and down and might struggle to keep the visitors quiet.
- Fiorentina are priced at 2.30 to win this match which offers a reasonable return for an away side with ambitions. Their recent results show victories against unnamed opponents before falling to consecutive defeats. They
- Sassuolo have only managed two wins in their last five matches showing a somewhat inconsistent run of form recently. They picked up draws against tricky sides but also suffered a defeat which leaves some defensive
- The away side holds the shorter price in the market at 2.30 compared to the home win at 2.70. This reflects the general expectation that Fiorentina possess enough quality to edge this contest away from home.
- Fiorentina arrive here having lost their last two matches in a row which creates a real doubt about their current momentum. That losing run halts the positive feeling from their earlier back to back wins.
- Sassuolo play this fixture at their own Mapei Stadium and have avoided defeat in four of their last five outings. That includes two draws and two wins which proves they are stubborn hosts who will not roll over easily.
Both teams have enough sporadic scoring form in their recent results to suggest each can find the net at least once.
Neither side has shown a consistent tendency to blow teams away in their recent fixtures so staying under the line makes sense.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes Fiorentina the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Fiorentina, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Fiorentina travel to the Mapei Stadium with a fair price attached to them despite mixed recent form. Sassuolo are up and down and might struggle to keep the visitors quiet.
Sassuolo come in patchy, winning 38% of 40 on record. 10 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
Fiorentina come in poor, winning 28% of 40 on record. 6 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
The prices turn into 34% for SAS, 25% for the draw and 40% for FIO once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Across 2 past meetings SAS hold the edge with 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Old results carry less weight than they look, but the pattern is worth a glance.
- Fiorentina arrive here having lost their last two matches in a row which creates a real doubt about their current momentum. That losing run halts the positive feeling from their earlier back to back wins.
- Sassuolo play this fixture at their own Mapei Stadium and have avoided defeat in four of their last five outings. That includes two draws and two wins which proves they are stubborn hosts who will not roll over easily.
We back Fiorentina for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
Sassuolo40 games on record- Scored52and let in53
- At home10 winsfrom20
- Right now1 loss in a row
Fiorentina40 games on record- Scored47and let in56
- On the road6 winsfrom19
- Right now1 draw in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
When these two have met
- Fiorentina 0 : 0 Sassuolo26 Apr 2026 · Serie A
- Sassuolo 3 : 1 Fiorentina6 Dec 2025 · Serie A
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.