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Betting tips › Eliteserien ›  Sarpsborg FK v Rosenborg

 EliteserienSun 18 Oct 12:30 UTCSarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg FK v Rosenborg tips

SARSarpsborg FKLDDDL
VS
ROSRosenborgWWWLW
The model callRosenborgMatch result2.45★★★★2 stars

Rosenborg arrive with four wins from five matches and look a solid pick at a price of 2.45 to beat Sarpsborg FK. The hosts are struggling for wins after failing to secure three points across their last five outings.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$49
Profit$29
Why it might land
  • Rosenborg come into this fixture on the back of four victories from their previous five outings in the league.
  • Sarpsborg FK are winless in their last five matches after picking up three straight draws followed by a defeat.
  • The bookmakers offer a very fair price of 2.45 for Rosenborg to win given their superior recent form.
Why it might not
  • Sarpsborg FK managed to secure three draws in their last five games which shows they can frustrate opponents at home.
  • Rosenborg did suffer a defeat recently in their otherwise strong run of five matches which leaves a small doubt.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have been involved in plenty of matches where goals went in recently.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no pricing on the 3.5 line so it is hard to judge the value.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Rosenborg the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Rosenborg, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Rosenborg arrive with four wins from five matches and look a solid pick at a price of 2.45 to beat Sarpsborg FK. The hosts are struggling for wins after failing to secure three points across their last five outings.

Form and momentum

Sarpsborg FK come in poor, winning 0% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Rosenborg come in strong, winning 83% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 37% for SAR, 25% for the draw and 38% for ROS once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.45, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Sarpsborg FK managed to secure three draws in their last five games which shows they can frustrate opponents at home.
  • Rosenborg did suffer a defeat recently in their otherwise strong run of five matches which leaves a small doubt.
The bottom line

We back Rosenborg for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsROS +145
SAR2.50draw3.75ROS2.45

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SARSarpsborg FK6 games on record
Won0
Drawn3
Lost3
  • Scored6and let in10
  • At homeno winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDDDL
ROSRosenborg6 games on record
Won5
Drawn0
Lost1
  • Scored18and let in9
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Sarpsborg or Rosenborg today?

The site model goes for Rosenborg at 2.45 because they have four wins from their last five matches while the hosts struggle. On the other hand, Sarpsborg managed three draws recently and might frustra...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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