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Betting tips › Eliteserien ›  Sarpsborg FK v Aalesund

 EliteserienSun 25 Oct 16:00 UTCSarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg FK v Aalesund tips

SARSarpsborg FKLDDDL
VS
AALAalesundWLWLD
The model callAalesundMatch result3.65★★★★1 star

Sarpsborg are struggling badly for wins lately and the visiting side can nick this. The price on Aalesund at three point six five is too tempting to ignore.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$36.5
Profit$26.5
Why it might land
  • Sarpsborg come into this fixture on the back of a concerning run of form that features three draws and two defeats from their last five matches.
  • Aalesund show a mixed recent sequence containing two wins and a draw which suggests they might just have enough momentum to grab an away victory.
  • The generous price of three point six five for an Aalesund win offers plenty of value given the struggles of the home side lately.
Why it might not
  • Aalesund have still suffered two losses in their last five outings to show they are hardly the most reliable travellers in this division.
  • Sarpsborg are playing at Sarpsborg Stadion on Sunday afternoon and home advantage could easily help them snap their winless streak.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams are leaking goals based on their recent results which points toward an open match.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no pricing on the line for three point five goals so it is best to stay well clear.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Sarpsborg FK the side to beat here at 51%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Aalesund, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Sarpsborg are struggling badly for wins lately and the visiting side can nick this. The price on Aalesund at three point six five is too tempting to ignore.

Form and momentum

Sarpsborg FK come in poor, winning 0% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Aalesund come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 51% for SAR, 24% for the draw and 26% for AAL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Sarpsborg FK, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 3.65, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Aalesund have still suffered two losses in their last five outings to show they are hardly the most reliable travellers in this division.
  • Sarpsborg are playing at Sarpsborg Stadion on Sunday afternoon and home advantage could easily help them snap their winless streak.
The bottom line

We back Aalesund for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSAR -120
SAR1.83draw3.95AAL3.65

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SARSarpsborg FK6 games on record
Won0
Drawn3
Lost3
  • Scored6and let in10
  • At homeno winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDDDL
AALAalesund6 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored12and let in11
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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