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Betting tips › Liga MX ›  Santos v Querétaro

 Liga MXSat 17 Oct 23:00 UTCEstadio Corona

Santos v Querétaro tips

SANSantosWWWLD
VS
QROQuerétaroWDWWL
The model callSantosMatch result2.40★★★★2 stars

Santos play at home and hold a solid price of 2.40 to grab a victory. Their recent run of three wins and a draw shows they are in good form.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$48
Profit$28
Why it might land
  • Santos are priced at 2.40 to win this match at Estadio Corona which gives us a solid price to back the home side.
  • The recent form for Santos shows three wins and a draw from their last five matches which is a strong sequence.
  • Querétaro suffered a loss in their most recent outing which could slow down the momentum from their prior victories.
Why it might not
  • Querétaro managed three wins in their last five matches so they arrive with enough form to pose a real threat here.
  • Santos did drop one game in their recent sequence which proves they are not completely immune to a surprise defeat.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both Santos and Querétaro have been winning matches lately which suggests both sides might find the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown decent winning form recently so we could see a few goals scored.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Santos the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Santos, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Santos play at home and hold a solid price of 2.40 to grab a victory. Their recent run of three wins and a draw shows they are in good form.

Form and momentum

Santos come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

Querétaro come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 3 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 39% for SAN, 27% for the draw and 34% for QRO once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.40, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Querétaro managed three wins in their last five matches so they arrive with enough form to pose a real threat here.
  • Santos did drop one game in their recent sequence which proves they are not completely immune to a surprise defeat.
The bottom line

We back Santos for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSAN +140
SAN2.40draw3.50QRO2.75

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SANSantos7 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored8and let in8
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWLD
QROQuerétaro6 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored8and let in4
  • On the road3 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Santos or Queretaro for this one?

The site model goes for Santos at 2.40 because they are at home and on a good run of three wins and a draw. Queretaro are no pushovers though since they won three of their last five matches. What are ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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