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Betting tips › Liga MX ›  Santos v Pumas UNAM

 Liga MXThu 22 Oct 03:00 UTCEstadio Corona

Santos v Pumas UNAM tips

SANSantosWWWLD
VS
UNAMPumas UNAMLDLWL
The model callSantosMatch result2.20★★★★2 stars

Santos carry decent momentum into this fixture at Estadio Corona against a struggling Pumas side. The home side looks value at two point two zero given the recent form guide.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$44
Profit$24
Why it might land
  • Santos enter this match with three wins and one draw from their last five outings which shows solid momentum.
  • The bookmakers offer a decent price of two point two zero for Santos to win their home fixture at Estadio Corona.
  • Pumas travel with a poor recent run of form featuring three losses and one draw from their past five matches.
Why it might not
  • Santos did suffer a recent loss in their last five outings which proves they can stumble against decent opponents.
  • Pumas managed to secure a win recently during their difficult stretch which shows they can spring a surprise.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Each team tends to trade goals frequently in their recent league outings.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides show inconsistent defensive displays across their recent matches.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Santos the side to beat here at 42%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Santos, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Santos carry decent momentum into this fixture at Estadio Corona against a struggling Pumas side. The home side looks value at two point two zero given the recent form guide.

Form and momentum

Santos come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

Pumas UNAM come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 42% for SAN, 26% for the draw and 32% for UNAM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.20, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Santos did suffer a recent loss in their last five outings which proves they can stumble against decent opponents.
  • Pumas managed to secure a win recently during their difficult stretch which shows they can spring a surprise.
The bottom line

We back Santos for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSAN +120
SAN2.20draw3.55UNAM2.95

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SANSantos7 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored8and let in8
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWLD
UNAMPumas UNAM7 games on record
Won1
Drawn3
Lost3
  • Scored7and let in11
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDLWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Santos or Pumas tonight?

The site model likes Santos at two point two zero because they bring decent form to Estadio Corona against a struggling Pumas side. They did lose one of their last five matches though, which shows the...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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