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Betting tips › Liga MX ›  Santos v Necaxa

 Liga MXSun 1 Nov 23:00 UTCEstadio Corona

Santos v Necaxa tips

SANSantosWWWLD
VS
NCXNecaxaLLLDL
The model callSantosMatch result1.80★★★★2 stars

Santos hold a strong recent run of form at home against a struggling Necaxa side. The hosts look well placed to take all three points at Estadio Corona.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36
Profit$16
Why it might land
  • Santos enter this match with three wins, one draw and only one defeat from their most recent five outings.
  • Necaxa arrive in dreadful form after suffering four losses and managing just a single draw in their last five games.
  • The bookmakers price Santos at a very backable 1.80 to win this fixture given the stark contrast in recent results.
Why it might not
  • Santos were held to a draw in their most recent match which shows they can occasionally slip up against weaker sides.
  • Necaxa are desperate to turn their terrible run around and might produce an unexpected defensive effort to frustrate the hosts.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Necaxa are struggling so badly for goals that Santos might comfortably shut them out entirely at Estadio Corona.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown enough consistent goalscoring power in recent weeks to push past the three and a half goal line.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Santos the side to beat here at 52%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Santos, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Santos hold a strong recent run of form at home against a struggling Necaxa side. The hosts look well placed to take all three points at Estadio Corona.

Form and momentum

Santos come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

Necaxa come in poor, winning 0% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 52% for SAN, 23% for the draw and 25% for NCX once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Santos, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Santos were held to a draw in their most recent match which shows they can occasionally slip up against weaker sides.
  • Necaxa are desperate to turn their terrible run around and might produce an unexpected defensive effort to frustrate the hosts.
The bottom line

We back Santos for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSAN -125
SAN1.80draw4.10NCX3.70

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SANSantos7 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored8and let in8
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWLD
NCXNecaxa7 games on record
Won0
Drawn2
Lost5
  • Scored7and let in15
  • On the roadno winsfrom3
  • Right now3 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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