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Betting tips › Brasileirao ›  Santos v Flamengo

 BrasileiraoThu 8 Oct 22:30 UTCEstádio Vila Belmiro (Urbano Caldeira)

Santos v Flamengo tips

SANSantosWWWWD
VS
FLAFlamengoWWWWW
The model callFlamengoMatch result1.80★★★★2 stars

Flamengo arrive with five straight wins and look fully equipped to take three points at Vila Belmiro. Santos carry a strong unbeaten run into this fixture but face a massive step up against the league leaders.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36
Profit$16
Why it might land
  • Flamengo come into this fixture in exceptional form after stringing together five consecutive victories in the recent results.
  • The bookmakers price Flamengo at 1.80 to win which offers decent value for a side in such dominant winning momentum.
  • Santos must halt a visiting team that has proven completely relentless by winning all five of their latest matches.
Why it might not
  • Santos have played very well lately and enter this match carrying a solid unbeaten run of four wins and one draw.
  • Santos playing at home in Estádio Vila Belmiro always presents a very tough challenge for any visiting side in this division.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both squads carry strong scoring momentum into this clash which points toward goals at both ends of the pitch.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.71

The price of 1.71 for over 2.5 goals reflects expectations of an open game given both teams scoring form.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Flamengo the side to beat here at 51%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Flamengo, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Flamengo arrive with five straight wins and look fully equipped to take three points at Vila Belmiro. Santos carry a strong unbeaten run into this fixture but face a massive step up against the league leaders.

Form and momentum

Santos come in strong, winning 71% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 4 wins in a row.

Flamengo come in strong, winning 88% of 8 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 5 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 23% for SAN, 26% for the draw and 51% for FLA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Flamengo, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Santos have played very well lately and enter this match carrying a solid unbeaten run of four wins and one draw.
  • Santos playing at home in Estádio Vila Belmiro always presents a very tough challenge for any visiting side in this division.
The bottom line

We back Flamengo for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsFLA -125
SAN4.00draw3.60FLA1.80

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SANSantos7 games on record
Won5
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored12and let in7
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now4 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWWD
FLAFlamengo8 games on record
Won7
Drawn0
Lost1
  • Scored18and let in5
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now5 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Santos or Flamengo tonight?

Flamengo come here on a five match winning run and look primed to grab another three points at Vila Belmiro. Santos have been in great form though and bring a solid unbeaten run into this game. The si...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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