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Betting tips › Brasileirao ›  Santos v Bahia

 BrasileiraoSat 24 Oct 18:00 UTCEstádio Vila Belmiro (Urbano Caldeira)

Santos v Bahia tips

SANSantosWWWWD
VS
BAHBahiaLWWWW
The model callSantosMatch result1.91★★★★2 stars

Santos carry strong momentum into this home fixture at Vila Belmiro against a dangerous Bahia side. The market offers a reasonable price on the hosts given their recent run of form.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • Santos enter this match with four wins and a draw from their last five outings, showing great consistency in the league.
  • The bookmakers offer Santos to win at a decent price of 1.91 playing at their historic home ground.
  • Bahia lost their most recent match, which halted a strong four game winning run right before this trip.
Why it might not
  • Bahia won four matches in a row before their recent defeat, proving they remain capable of troubling anyone in the division.
  • Santos could struggle to break down a visitor that had put together such an impressive winning sequence just prior to this weekend.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Santos and Bahia both arrive with plenty of attacking momentum from their recent matches.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown strong scoring form during their recent winning runs in the competition.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Santos the side to beat here at 48%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Santos, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Santos carry strong momentum into this home fixture at Vila Belmiro against a dangerous Bahia side. The market offers a reasonable price on the hosts given their recent run of form.

Form and momentum

Santos come in strong, winning 71% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 4 wins in a row.

Bahia come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 48% for SAN, 26% for the draw and 26% for BAH once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Santos, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Bahia won four matches in a row before their recent defeat, proving they remain capable of troubling anyone in the division.
  • Santos could struggle to break down a visitor that had put together such an impressive winning sequence just prior to this weekend.
The bottom line

We back Santos for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSAN -110
SAN1.91draw3.60BAH3.55

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SANSantos7 games on record
Won5
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored12and let in7
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now4 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWWD
BAHBahia7 games on record
Won4
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored14and let in10
  • On the road2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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