Betting tips › Primera Nacional › San Telmo v Defensores de Belgrano
Primera NacionalSat 17 Oct 18:00 UTCDr. Osvaldo BalettoSan Telmo v Defensores de Belgrano tips
San TelmoWLWDL
Defensores de BelgranoLWWDWDefensores de Belgrano arrive with stronger recent momentum than their hosts. San Telmo are struggling to find any consistency in their matches.
- Defensores de Belgrano enter this fixture having won three of their last five matches across the division.
- San Telmo have dropped three of their last five fixtures which shows real vulnerability at this stage.
- The price of 2.80 for the away win offers decent value given the contrasting recent runs of form.
- San Telmo still have home advantage at the Dr Osvaldo Baletto ground which often keeps them competitive.
- Defensores de Belgrano lost their most recent match and need to prove that defeat is not the start of a slide.
Their mixed defensive records suggest both teams might manage to find the net during the ninety minutes.
Both sides have been trading wins and losses recently so goals could easily flow at either end.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes San Telmo the side to beat here at 32%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Defensores de Belgrano, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Defensores de Belgrano arrive with stronger recent momentum than their hosts. San Telmo are struggling to find any consistency in their matches.
San Telmo come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
Defensores de Belgrano come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
The prices turn into 32% for SAN, 35% for the draw and 32% for DEF once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
- San Telmo still have home advantage at the Dr Osvaldo Baletto ground which often keeps them competitive.
- Defensores de Belgrano lost their most recent match and need to prove that defeat is not the start of a slide.
We back Defensores de Belgrano for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
San Telmo7 games on record- Scored7and let in7
- At home0 winsfrom3
- Right now1 win in a row
Defensores de Belgrano7 games on record- Scored7and let in6
- On the road1 winsfrom2
- Right now1 loss in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.