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Betting tips › Primera Nacional ›  San Telmo v Central Norte

 Primera NacionalSat 31 Oct 18:00 UTCDr. Osvaldo Baletto

San Telmo v Central Norte tips

SANSan TelmoWLWDL
VS
CNOCentral NorteDLDDD
The model callSan TelmoMatch result2.30★★★★2 stars

San Telmo have picked up a couple of recent wins while Central Norte keep drawing. The home price of 2.30 looks fair enough to back the hosts on Saturday.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$46
Profit$26
Why it might land
  • San Telmo come into this match at the Dr Osvaldo Baletto having won two of their last five fixtures in the division.
  • Central Norte have failed to win any of their last five matches after picking up four draws and a single defeat.
  • The bookmakers offer a price of 2.30 for San Telmo to win which gives us a decent return for a home victory.
Why it might not
  • San Telmo remain inconsistent in the Primera Nacional after losing two of their last five outings including their most recent match.
  • Central Norte are hard to beat on their day having managed to draw four out of their last five games in the league.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have mixed scoring records across their recent matches in the league.

Total goalsOver 1.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no prices for the goal line so it is guesswork to back goals here.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes San Telmo the side to beat here at 39%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on San Telmo, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. San Telmo have picked up a couple of recent wins while Central Norte keep drawing. The home price of 2.30 looks fair enough to back the hosts on Saturday.

Form and momentum

San Telmo come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Central Norte come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 39% for SAN, 34% for the draw and 27% for CNO once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward San Telmo, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • San Telmo remain inconsistent in the Primera Nacional after losing two of their last five outings including their most recent match.
  • Central Norte are hard to beat on their day having managed to draw four out of their last five games in the league.
The bottom line

We back San Telmo for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSAN +130
SAN2.30draw2.70CNO3.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SANSan Telmo7 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored7and let in7
  • At home0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWDL
CNOCentral Norte7 games on record
Won1
Drawn5
Lost1
  • Scored4and let in4
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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