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Betting tips › Primera Nacional ›  San Miguel v Deportivo Madryn

 Primera NacionalSat 31 Oct 18:00 UTCMalvinas Argentinas (Los Polvorines)

San Miguel v Deportivo Madryn tips

SANSan MiguelLDDLL
VS
DMADeportivo MadrynDWLWL
The model callDeportivo MadrynMatch result1.87★★★★2 stars

Deportivo Madryn looks the better side on recent form despite playing away from home. San Miguel comes into this fixture struggling badly after taking zero wins from their last five matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$37.4
Profit$17.4
Why it might land
  • Deportivo Madryn arrives with two wins and a draw from their last five fixtures while showing they can pick up victories on the road.
  • San Miguel is sliding down the table rapidly after picking up zero wins and suffering three defeats across their last five matches.
  • Deportivo Madryn is priced at 1.87 to win this match which offers fair value given the poor run of form from the home team.
Why it might not
  • Deportivo Madryn dropped their most recent match and remains inconsistent enough to stumble against a desperate opponent on the road.
  • San Miguel managed two draws in their last five outings and could easily grind out another stalemate at Malvinas Argentinas.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

San Miguel has struggled to find the net regularly during their current winless streak.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown a prolific scoring touch in recent weeks to suggest a high scoring match.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Deportivo Madryn the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Deportivo Madryn, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Deportivo Madryn looks the better side on recent form despite playing away from home. San Miguel comes into this fixture struggling badly after taking zero wins from their last five matches.

Form and momentum

San Miguel come in poor, winning 0% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Deportivo Madryn come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 24% for SAN, 27% for the draw and 49% for DMA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Deportivo Madryn, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.87, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Deportivo Madryn dropped their most recent match and remains inconsistent enough to stumble against a desperate opponent on the road.
  • San Miguel managed two draws in their last five outings and could easily grind out another stalemate at Malvinas Argentinas.
The bottom line

We back Deportivo Madryn for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsDMA -115
SAN3.75draw3.35DMA1.87

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SANSan Miguel7 games on record
Won0
Drawn2
Lost5
  • Scored6and let in13
  • At homeno winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDDLL
DMADeportivo Madryn7 games on record
Won4
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored12and let in4
  • On the road0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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