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Betting tips › Primera Nacional ›  San Miguel v Ciudad de Bolívar

 Primera NacionalSat 17 Oct 18:00 UTCMalvinas Argentinas (Los Polvorines)

San Miguel v Ciudad de Bolívar tips

SANSan MiguelLDDLL
VS
CDBCiudad de BolívarWLDLW
The model callSan MiguelMatch result2.35★★★★1 star

San Miguel play at home despite poor recent form. Ciudad de Bolívar travel after an inconsistent run of results.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$23.5
Profit$13.5
Why it might land
  • San Miguel return to their home ground at Malvinas Argentinas after enduring a tough run that features three losses and two draws.
  • The bookmakers offer a decent price of 2.35 for San Miguel to win this fixture on Saturday afternoon in Los Polvorines.
  • Ciudad de Bolívar bring mixed away form into this match following their recent victory which broke a sequence that included a loss and a draw.
Why it might not
  • San Miguel arrive with a worrying sequence of results showing three defeats and two draws in their five most recent matches.
  • Ciudad de Bolívar recently secured a win and show they can take three points even though their overall form reads win loss draw loss win.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Recent results suggest one team might struggle to find the back of the net in this encounter.

Total goalsUnder 1.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have struggled for consistent scoring form recently which points toward a low scoring affair.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes San Miguel the side to beat here at 39%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on San Miguel, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. San Miguel play at home despite poor recent form. Ciudad de Bolívar travel after an inconsistent run of results.

Form and momentum

San Miguel come in poor, winning 0% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Ciudad de Bolívar come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 39% for SAN, 34% for the draw and 27% for CDB once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward San Miguel, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • San Miguel arrive with a worrying sequence of results showing three defeats and two draws in their five most recent matches.
  • Ciudad de Bolívar recently secured a win and show they can take three points even though their overall form reads win loss draw loss win.
The bottom line

We back San Miguel for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSAN +135
SAN2.35draw2.65CDB3.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SANSan Miguel7 games on record
Won0
Drawn2
Lost5
  • Scored6and let in13
  • At homeno winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDDLL
CDBCiudad de Bolívar6 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored5and let in6
  • On the road0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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