Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › MLS ›  San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SC

 MLSSun 18 Oct 02:30 UTCPayPal Park

San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SC tips

SJSan Jose EarthquakesWDWWD
VS
NSHNashville SCWWDLD
The model callNashville SCMatch result1.91★★★★2 stars

Nashville travel to PayPal Park as favorites at nineteen to ten because their recent form holds up better than the hosts. San Jose are putting together a decent unbeaten run of their own but the price on the visitors looks fair.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • Nashville travel with a solid recent sequence of results that includes two wins and two draws from their last five matches.
  • The betting market prices Nashville at nineteen to ten to win this match which offers fair value for the away side.
  • San Jose have managed two wins and three draws recently but they still come into this fixture as the underdogs at home.
Why it might not
  • San Jose enter this home fixture having avoided defeat in all of their last five matches across a steady run of form.
  • Nashville have only managed to win one of their last three outings after recording a draw and a defeat in that sequence.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have been finding the net regularly in their recent outings which points towards goals at both ends of the pitch.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown a tendency for high scoring blowouts in their recent matches so staying under three goals makes sense.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Nashville SC the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Nashville SC, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Nashville travel to PayPal Park as favorites at nineteen to ten because their recent form holds up better than the hosts. San Jose are putting together a decent unbeaten run of their own but the price on the visitors looks fair.

Form and momentum

San Jose Earthquakes come in patchy, winning 33% of 9 on record. 2 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Nashville SC come in strong, winning 67% of 9 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 27% for SJ, 25% for the draw and 49% for NSH once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Nashville SC, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • San Jose enter this home fixture having avoided defeat in all of their last five matches across a steady run of form.
  • Nashville have only managed to win one of their last three outings after recording a draw and a defeat in that sequence.
The bottom line

We back Nashville SC for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNSH -110
SJ3.50draw3.75NSH1.91

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SJSan Jose Earthquakes9 games on record
Won3
Drawn3
Lost3
  • Scored12and let in15
  • At home2 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWWD
NSHNashville SC9 games on record
Won6
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored20and let in7
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW