EdgeBotFootball
Sao Paulo or Vasco tonight?
The site model likes Sao Paulo at two point zero five because they are at home. Vasco have won four of their last five games so they will be tough. What are you all on for this one?
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Betting tips › Brasileirao › São Paulo v Vasco da Gama
BrasileiraoSat 17 Oct 18:00 UTCEstádio Cícero Pompeu de ToledoSão Paulo v Vasco da Gama tips
SAO
São PauloWLWWL
VSSão PauloWLWWLVAS
Vasco da GamaWWWLW
Vasco da GamaWWWLWThe model callSão PauloMatch result2.05★★★★2 stars
Sao Paulo play at home and hold a decent price to win. Vasco arrive with strong recent form though.
Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$41
Profit$21
Why it might land
- Sao Paulo play at home at the Morumbi and the price of 2.05 gives us a fair chance to back them.
- Sao Paulo managed three wins from their last five matches to show they carry some useful winning momentum.
- Vasco da Gama dropped a match recently when they lost one of their last five outings on the road.
Why it might not
- Vasco da Gama won four of their last five matches which shows they are very tough opponents right now.
- Sao Paulo also lost two of their last five fixtures to prove they are far from completely reliable.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book
Both sides have been winning matches recently so we can expect goals at both ends.
Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book
We have no price for the goals line so it is best to avoid guessing the total score.
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Members analysis
In depthEdge Analysis
The matchup
The market makes São Paulo the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on São Paulo, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Sao Paulo play at home and hold a decent price to win. Vasco arrive with strong recent form though.
Form and momentum
São Paulo come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 3 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
Vasco da Gama come in solid, winning 50% of 8 on record. 2 of their 5 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.
The price and the value
The prices turn into 46% for SAO, 27% for the draw and 27% for VAS once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward São Paulo, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Where it could go wrong
- Vasco da Gama won four of their last five matches which shows they are very tough opponents right now.
- Sao Paulo also lost two of their last five fixtures to prove they are far from completely reliable.
The bottom line
We back São Paulo for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices
Every price we track
SourceDraftKingsSAO +105
SAO2.05draw3.45VAS3.45
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
The two sides
Recent Performance
SAOSão Paulo7 games on record
São Paulo7 games on recordWon3
Drawn1
Lost3
- Scored7and let in7
- At home3 winsfrom4
- Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWL
VASVasco da Gama8 games on record
Vasco da Gama8 games on recordWon4
Drawn1
Lost3
- Scored12and let in10
- On the road2 winsfrom5
- Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWLW
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
From the forum
What people are saying
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.