Betting tips › Brazil Serie B › São Bernardo v Vila Nova
Brazil Serie BFri 23 Oct 18:00 UTCSão Bernardo v Vila Nova tips
São BernardoDWWLW
Vila NovaWWDWLVila Nova has put together a decent run of recent results despite a loss last time out. They look slightly better value than the hosts at this price.
- Vila Nova comes into this match with three wins from their last five outings showing they can find results on a regular basis.
- The away side is available at a decent price of 2.55 which gives us some room to back their recent winning momentum.
- São Bernardo suffered a recent defeat in their last five games proving they are certainly vulnerable against solid opponents.
- Vila Nova dropped their most recent fixture with a loss which introduces some unwanted doubt about their current defensive stability.
- São Bernardo has managed three wins in their last five matches making them a very dangerous home side to bet against.
Both teams have traded wins and losses lately which suggests defensive lapses could happen on both sides.
Neither side has shown enough consistent goalscoring power in their recent matches to force us into backing goals.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes Vila Nova the side to beat here at 36%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Vila Nova, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Vila Nova has put together a decent run of recent results despite a loss last time out. They look slightly better value than the hosts at this price.
São Bernardo come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
Vila Nova come in strong, winning 63% of 8 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.
The prices turn into 34% for BER, 30% for the draw and 36% for VIL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.55, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
- Vila Nova dropped their most recent fixture with a loss which introduces some unwanted doubt about their current defensive stability.
- São Bernardo has managed three wins in their last five matches making them a very dangerous home side to bet against.
We back Vila Nova for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
São Bernardo8 games on record- Scored9and let in6
- At home1 winsfrom3
- Right now1 draw in a row
Vila Nova8 games on record- Scored14and let in6
- On the road0 winsfrom3
- Right now2 wins in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.