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Betting tips › Brazil Serie B ›  São Bernardo v CRB

 Brazil Serie BFri 2 Oct 22:30 UTCEstádio Primeiro de Maio

São Bernardo v CRB tips

BERSão BernardoDWWLW
VS
CRBCRBWLWLW
The model callSão BernardoMatch result2.30★★★★2 stars

Sao Bernardo return to their home ground with a strong set of recent results behind them. They should edge past a patchy CRB side given the attractive price on offer.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$46
Profit$26
Why it might land
  • The hosts bring a solid run of form into this fixture with three wins from their last five matches.
  • Sao Bernardo are priced at two point three zero to win which offers decent value for a home side.
  • CRB have traded wins with losses across their last five matches showing a clear lack of defensive consistency.
Why it might not
  • CRB just secured a win in their latest outing and could carry that winning momentum into this tough away trip.
  • The recent form includes a loss for Sao Bernardo which proves they are capable of slipping up unexpectedly.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Neither defence has kept things entirely tight lately so both teams should find the back of the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.83

Both sides have been trading wins and losses in recent weeks which points toward an open game with goals.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes São Bernardo the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on São Bernardo, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Sao Bernardo return to their home ground with a strong set of recent results behind them. They should edge past a patchy CRB side given the attractive price on offer.

Form and momentum

São Bernardo come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

CRB come in strong, winning 63% of 8 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 40% for BER, 28% for the draw and 32% for CRB once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • CRB just secured a win in their latest outing and could carry that winning momentum into this tough away trip.
  • The recent form includes a loss for Sao Bernardo which proves they are capable of slipping up unexpectedly.
The bottom line

We back São Bernardo for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsBER +130
BER2.30draw3.25CRB2.90

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BERSão Bernardo8 games on record
Won3
Drawn3
Lost2
  • Scored9and let in6
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWWLW
CRBCRB8 games on record
Won5
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored13and let in9
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Sao Bernardo vs CRB value?

The site model fancies Sao Bernardo at 2.30 back on home turf with some decent form behind them. CRB just grabbed a win last time out though so they might bring some momentum to this away match. What ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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