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Betting tips › League Two ›  Rochdale v Swindon Town

 League TwoSat 3 Oct 14:00 UTCCrown Oil Arena

Rochdale v Swindon Town tips

RCHRochdaleWWDLW
VS
SWISwindon TownDLLWW
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.74★★★★2 stars

Goals usually flow when these two meet at this level, and the price of 1.74 for over 2.5 goals catches the eye. Swindon arrive with mixed form while Rochdale won four of their last five matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.8
Profit$14.8
Why it might land
  • The total goals line sits at 1.74 for over which offers solid value given how many matches clear this mark in League Two.
  • Rochdale come into this fixture on the back of four wins from their last five outings showing clear attacking momentum.
  • Swindon Town have blown hot and cold recently with two wins and two losses in their last five fixtures.
Why it might not
  • Swindon Town did manage a draw in their most recent outing which suggests they might tighten up defensively here.
  • Rochdale did suffer a recent defeat in their last five games proving they are capable of having an off day.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have enough recent scoring form to suggest each side will find the back of the net.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Rochdale the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Goals usually flow when these two meet at this level, and the price of 1.74 for over 2.5 goals catches the eye. Swindon arrive with mixed form while Rochdale won four of their last five matches.

Form and momentum

Rochdale come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Swindon Town come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 39% for RCH, 28% for the draw and 34% for SWI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.74, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Swindon Town did manage a draw in their most recent outing which suggests they might tighten up defensively here.
  • Rochdale did suffer a recent defeat in their last five games proving they are capable of having an off day.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsRCH +140
RCH2.40draw3.35SWI2.75

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

RCHRochdale8 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored9and let in11
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDLW
SWISwindon Town8 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored9and let in12
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Rochdale or Swindon for the weekend?

The site model goes for a draw here. Goals usually flow when these two meet and over 2.5 goals looks tempting at 1.74 with Rochdale winning four of their last five and Swindon bringing mixed form. On ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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