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Betting tips › League Two ›  Rochdale v Accrington Stanley

 League TwoSat 24 Oct 14:00 UTCCrown Oil Arena

Rochdale v Accrington Stanley tips

RCHRochdaleLWWDL
VS
ACCAccrington StanleyDDDLW
The model callRochdaleMatch result2.50★★★★1 star

Rochdale have enough home wins lately to edge this tight contest against Accrington Stanley. Both sides show mixed recent form so this pick comes with plenty of risk.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$25
Profit$15
Why it might land
  • Rochdale managed two wins in their last five outings showing they can get over the line when playing at the Crown Oil Arena.
  • Accrington Stanley managed just one victory in their last five matches which leaves them looking fragile on the road this Saturday.
  • The bookmakers offer a fair price of 2.50 for Rochdale to win which reflects their slight edge in recent overall results.
Why it might not
  • Rochdale recently suffered two defeats in their last five games including a loss last time out which damages confidence.
  • Accrington Stanley picked up three draws in their last five fixtures proving they are very difficult to beat outright.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams concede regularly in their recent matches which points towards goals at both ends.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Rochdale the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Rochdale, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Rochdale have enough home wins lately to edge this tight contest against Accrington Stanley. Both sides show mixed recent form so this pick comes with plenty of risk.

Form and momentum

Rochdale come in patchy, winning 33% of 9 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Accrington Stanley come in poor, winning 11% of 9 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 draws in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 38% for RCH, 28% for the draw and 35% for ACC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.50, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Rochdale recently suffered two defeats in their last five games including a loss last time out which damages confidence.
  • Accrington Stanley picked up three draws in their last five fixtures proving they are very difficult to beat outright.
The bottom line

We back Rochdale for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsRCH +150
RCH2.50draw3.40ACC2.70

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

RCHRochdale9 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored9and let in16
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWDL
ACCAccrington Stanley9 games on record
Won1
Drawn5
Lost3
  • Scored12and let in15
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now3 draws in a row
Last fiveDDDLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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