Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › Primeira Liga ›  Rio Ave v Estrela

 Primeira LigaMon 14 Sept 17:45 UTCEstádio do Rio AveFinished

Rio Ave v Estrela tips

RAFCRio AveLLWLL
3 : 3
ESTEstrelaWDWDD
The model callEstrelaMatch result2.55★★★★2 starsLost

Estrela arrive with a solid unbeaten run behind them and face a struggling Rio Ave side. The visitors look a fair price at two point five five to take all three points.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$51
Profit$31
Why it might land
  • Estrela come into this fixture on a positive unbeaten sequence that includes two wins and three draws from their last five outings.
  • Rio Ave are really struggling for momentum after picking up four defeats and only a single victory in their previous five matches.
  • The bookmakers offer a very tempting price of two point five five on the away win given the contrasting recent form of both clubs.
Why it might not
  • Estrela have too many draws on their recent record after sharing the points in three of their last five matches.
  • Rio Ave are playing on their own turf at the Estadio do Rio Ave where they will be desperate to turn their poor run around.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookLost

Rio Ave struggle for goals so one side might keep a clean sheet in this fixture.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by bookLost

Neither side shows a heavy scoring habit in their recent matches to suggest a high scoring game.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Rio Ave the side to beat here at 36%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Estrela, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Estrela arrive with a solid unbeaten run behind them and face a struggling Rio Ave side. The visitors look a fair price at two point five five to take all three points.

Form and momentum

Rio Ave come in poor, winning 23% of 39 on record. 3 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Estrela come in poor, winning 21% of 39 on record. 3 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 36% for RAFC, 29% for the draw and 36% for EST once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.55, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 2 past meetings RAFC hold the edge with 2 wins to 0, with 0 drawn. Old results carry less weight than they look, but the pattern is worth a glance.

Where it could go wrong
  • Estrela have too many draws on their recent record after sharing the points in three of their last five matches.
  • Rio Ave are playing on their own turf at the Estadio do Rio Ave where they will be desperate to turn their poor run around.
The bottom line

We back Estrela for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
RAFC2.58draw3.10EST2.70
SourceDraftKingsRAFC +165
RAFC2.65draw3.30EST2.65

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

RAFCRio Ave39 games on record
Won9
Drawn12
Lost18
  • Scored37and let in68
  • At home3 winsfrom19
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWLL
ESTEstrela39 games on record
Won8
Drawn15
Lost16
  • Scored49and let in65
  • On the road3 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

2RAFC wins
0drawn
0EST wins
  • Rio Ave 2 : 1 Estrela15 Mar 2026 · Primeira Liga
  • Estrela 1 : 2 Rio Ave25 Oct 2025 · Primeira Liga

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Rio Ave v Estrela thoughts?

The site model likes Estrela at two point five five because they come here on a solid unbeaten run against a struggling Rio Ave. The worry is that Estrela draw far too many games after sharing the poi...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW