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Betting tips › Brasileirao ›  Remo v Grêmio

 BrasileiraoWed 7 Oct 22:30 UTCMangueirão

Remo v Grêmio tips

REMORemoLLLLL
VS
GREGrêmioDLLLW
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.80★★★★2 stars

Both teams are struggling badly for clean sheets and points in the league table. Expect an open game at Mangueirão where defensive mistakes push the goal tally past the line.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36
Profit$16
Why it might land
  • The total goals line sits at 2.5 with a price of 1.80 for the over selection to land based on current team setups.
  • Remo comes into this match after losing five league matches in a row while conceding heavily in every single fixture.
  • Gremio travels away from home having picked up four losses from their last five recent league outings in the division.
Why it might not
  • Gremio managed only a single draw alongside four defeats in their last five fixtures which shows their attack can go quiet.
  • Remo failed to win any of their last five matches and might struggle to contribute enough goals to push the total over.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Neither defence can keep clean sheets right now given Remo lost five straight and Gremio lost four of their last five.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Remo the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Both teams are struggling badly for clean sheets and points in the league table. Expect an open game at Mangueirão where defensive mistakes push the goal tally past the line.

Form and momentum

Remo come in poor, winning 0% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 5 losss in a row.

Grêmio come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 43% for REMO, 27% for the draw and 30% for GRE once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Remo, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Gremio managed only a single draw alongside four defeats in their last five fixtures which shows their attack can go quiet.
  • Remo failed to win any of their last five matches and might struggle to contribute enough goals to push the total over.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsREMO +115
REMO2.15draw3.40GRE3.05

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

REMORemo7 games on record
Won0
Drawn2
Lost5
  • Scored8and let in13
  • At homeno winsfrom4
  • Right now5 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLL
GREGrêmio8 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored8and let in12
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Remo v Gremio goals on the cards?

Both sides cannot keep a clean sheet and need points badly so expect mistakes at the back. Gremio have only managed one draw and four defeats in their last five though, so their attack might go quiet....

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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