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Betting tips › MLS ›  Red Bull New York v St. Louis CITY SC

 MLSWed 30 Sept 23:30 UTCRed Bull Arena

Red Bull New York v St. Louis CITY SC tips

RBNYRed Bull New YorkWWLDL
VS
STLSt. Louis CITY SCWWDWD
The model callSt. Louis CITY SCMatch result1.91★★★★2 stars

St Louis arrive with much stronger recent form and take a price of 1.91 to beat Red Bull New York. The hosts are struggling for consistency down at Red Bull Arena.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • St Louis bring an impressive unbeaten run of results into this match including three recent wins and two draws.
  • Red Bull New York have stumbled badly in their last five fixtures with three defeats and only two victories recorded.
  • The away win price of 1.91 gives fair value for a side showing far better momentum than their opponents this season.
Why it might not
  • St Louis have drawn two of their last five matches which shows they can sometimes struggle to put opponents away completely.
  • Red Bull New York are playing at home where they will desperately want to turn their poor recent form around.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams to score is a strong look because neither defence has looked entirely secure across their recent fixtures.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice 2.00

Backing over 3.5 goals at 2.00 makes sense since both teams have been involved in open matches lately.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes St. Louis CITY SC the side to beat here at 48%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on St. Louis CITY SC, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. St Louis arrive with much stronger recent form and take a price of 1.91 to beat Red Bull New York. The hosts are struggling for consistency down at Red Bull Arena.

Form and momentum

Red Bull New York come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

St. Louis CITY SC come in strong, winning 63% of 8 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 28% for RBNY, 23% for the draw and 48% for STL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward St. Louis CITY SC, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • St Louis have drawn two of their last five matches which shows they can sometimes struggle to put opponents away completely.
  • Red Bull New York are playing at home where they will desperately want to turn their poor recent form around.
The bottom line

We back St. Louis CITY SC for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSTL -110
RBNY3.25draw4.00STL1.91

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

RBNYRed Bull New York8 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost4
  • Scored5and let in9
  • At home0 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLDL
STLSt. Louis CITY SC8 games on record
Won5
Drawn3
Lost0
  • Scored21and let in12
  • On the road2 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

St Louis at 1.91 against New York Red Bulls

The site model likes St Louis at 1.91 to beat the Red Bulls because the hosts are struggling for consistency at home. St Louis are in much better form right now. The worry is that St Louis have drawn ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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