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Betting tips › Brasileirao ›  Red Bull Bragantino v Mirassol

 BrasileiraoWed 7 Oct 22:30 UTCEstádio Municipal Cicero de Souza Marques

Red Bull Bragantino v Mirassol tips

BRARed Bull BragantinoLDLLW
VS
MIRMirassolWDWLD
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.77★★★★2 stars

We expect goals in this fixture because both sides have shown mixed defensive form recently. The price for over two and a half goals is set at one point seven seven.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$35.4
Profit$15.4
Why it might land
  • The total goals line for over two and a half goals sits at an appealing price of one point seven seven in the market.
  • Red Bull Bragantino enters this match after suffering three defeats in their last five outings which highlights defensive frailties.
  • Mirassol comes into this fixture with mixed recent results including wins and draws that show they can find the back of the net.
Why it might not
  • Red Bull Bragantino recently secured a victory which proves they can tighten up at the back when needed most.
  • Mirassol recorded a recent defeat in their last five matches showing they are not completely immune to goal droughts.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both squads have traded wins and losses lately which suggests defensive vulnerabilities on both sides of the pitch.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Red Bull Bragantino the side to beat here at 52%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We expect goals in this fixture because both sides have shown mixed defensive form recently. The price for over two and a half goals is set at one point seven seven.

Form and momentum

Red Bull Bragantino come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Mirassol come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 52% for BRA, 25% for the draw and 22% for MIR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Red Bull Bragantino, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.77, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Red Bull Bragantino recently secured a victory which proves they can tighten up at the back when needed most.
  • Mirassol recorded a recent defeat in their last five matches showing they are not completely immune to goal droughts.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsBRA -130
BRA1.77draw3.65MIR4.20

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BRARed Bull Bragantino7 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost4
  • Scored7and let in11
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDLLW
MIRMirassol8 games on record
Won2
Drawn3
Lost3
  • Scored10and let in15
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Goals in Bragantino v Mirassol?

Both teams look shaky at the back so the site model fancies goals with over two and a half sitting at 1.77. Bragantino did just keep a clean sheet in a win though which proves they can tighten up. Wha...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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