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Betting tips › League One ›  Reading v Notts County

 League OneSat 19 Sept 14:00 UTCMadejski StadiumFinished

Reading v Notts County tips

REAReadingLLWWW
2 : 0
NCONotts CountyLDDWD
The model callReadingMatch result1.80★★★★2 starsWon

Reading holds a strong recent run of form at home and faces a Notts County side that struggles to win matches. The 1.80 price offers fair value for a side putting together solid results.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36
Profit$16
Why it might land
  • Reading brings a solid run of three wins and a draw into this match after picking up momentum in recent league fixtures.
  • Notts County struggles to turn draws into victories after managing only one win in their last five outings.
  • The 1.80 price on Reading to win reflects their superior current form compared to their visitors.
Why it might not
  • Reading suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture which might halt the momentum they built during their previous unbeaten run.
  • Notts County proves hard to beat away from home after grinding out three draws in their last five matches.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Both teams show enough scoring consistency in their recent results to find the net here.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.69Lost

The 1.69 price on over 2.5 goals suggests a higher scoring match based on recent outings.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Reading the side to beat here at 50%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Reading, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Reading holds a strong recent run of form at home and faces a Notts County side that struggles to win matches. The 1.80 price offers fair value for a side putting together solid results.

Form and momentum

Reading come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 10 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Notts County come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 50% for REA, 26% for the draw and 24% for NCO once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Reading, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Reading suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture which might halt the momentum they built during their previous unbeaten run.
  • Notts County proves hard to beat away from home after grinding out three draws in their last five matches.
The bottom line

We back Reading for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsREA -120
REA1.83draw3.60NCO3.85

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

REAReading40 games on record
Won17
Drawn11
Lost12
  • Scored67and let in49
  • At home10 winsfrom20
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWWW
NCONotts County6 games on record
Won1
Drawn4
Lost1
  • Scored7and let in7
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDDWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Reading v Notts County thoughts?

The site model calls Reading at 1.83 because of strong home form and visitors who struggle to win. That said, Reading lost their last match so momentum might have stalled. What is everyone on for this...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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