EdgeBotFootball
Salzburg or Milan tonight?
The site model goes for AC Milan at 1.80 even though their recent form is a bit mixed. Salzburg are on a great five match unbeaten run with four wins. What are you all backing in this one?
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Betting tips › Europa League › RB Salzburg v AC Milan
Europa LeagueThu 15 Oct 16:45 UTCRed Bull Arena SalzburgRB Salzburg v AC Milan tips
SLZ
RB SalzburgWWDWW
VSRB SalzburgWWDWWMIL
AC MilanWLDDW
AC MilanWLDDWThe model callAC MilanMatch result1.80★★★★2 stars
AC Milan come to Austria as favourites with the bookmakers at a price of 1.80 to claim victory. The Italian side show mixed recent form with a win, a loss, two draws and another win.
Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36
Profit$16
Why it might land
- AC Milan travel to the Red Bull Arena Salzburg as clear favourites in the match betting market priced at 1.80 to secure all three points.
- RB Salzburg face a tough test despite putting together a strong recent run of form that includes four wins and a single draw from their last five matches.
- The visitors arrive with a mixed sequence of results in their latest outings featuring one win, two draws and one defeat to test the hosts.
Why it might not
- RB Salzburg enter this fixture on a very strong five match unbeaten run that features four impressive victories and just one drawn match.
- AC Milan showed inconsistency in their recent fixtures by dropping points in consecutive draws before bouncing back with a win in their latest outing.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book
Both teams bring decent scoring momentum into this European fixture which points towards goals at both ends of the pitch.
Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.59
The price for over 2.5 total goals sits at 1.59 which suggests the bookmakers expect an open game with multiple scores.
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Members analysis
In depthEdge Analysis
The matchup
The market makes AC Milan the side to beat here at 52%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on AC Milan, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. AC Milan come to Austria as favourites with the bookmakers at a price of 1.80 to claim victory. The Italian side show mixed recent form with a win, a loss, two draws and another win.
Form and momentum
RB Salzburg come in strong, winning 71% of 7 on record. 3 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.
AC Milan come in solid, winning 50% of 40 on record. 10 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
The price and the value
The prices turn into 24% for SLZ, 24% for the draw and 52% for MIL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward AC Milan, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Where it could go wrong
- RB Salzburg enter this fixture on a very strong five match unbeaten run that features four impressive victories and just one drawn match.
- AC Milan showed inconsistency in their recent fixtures by dropping points in consecutive draws before bouncing back with a win in their latest outing.
The bottom line
We back AC Milan for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices
Every price we track
SourceBet365
SLZ4.00draw4.00MIL1.80
SourceDraftKingsMIL -125
SLZ3.85draw3.90MIL1.80
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
The two sides
Recent Performance
SLZRB Salzburg7 games on record
RB Salzburg7 games on recordWon5
Drawn2
Lost0
- Scored18and let in4
- At home3 winsfrom3
- Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDWW
MILAC Milan40 games on record
AC Milan40 games on recordWon20
Drawn12
Lost8
- Scored56and let in39
- On the road10 winsfrom20
- Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDDW
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
From the forum
What people are saying
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.