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Betting tips › Champions League ›  RB Leipzig v PSV Eindhoven

 Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct 19:00 UTCRed Bull Arena

RB Leipzig v PSV Eindhoven tips

RBLRB LeipzigLWLLW
VS
PSVPSV EindhovenLWDWW
The model callOver 3.5Total goals1.95★★★★2 stars

We should see plenty of goals in this match given how both teams have been trading blows lately. The price on over 3.5 goals at 1.95 looks fair enough for a contest involving these two.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$39
Profit$19
Why it might land
  • The bookmakers offer a decent price of 1.95 for over 3.5 goals which suggests a high scoring match is expected on the night.
  • RB Leipzig bring a mixed run of recent results into this game including three losses from their last five outings.
  • PSV Eindhoven arrive with decent momentum after securing three wins and a draw from their previous five fixtures.
Why it might not
  • RB Leipzig managed to lose three of their last five matches which brings some real doubt about their defensive solidity here.
  • PSV Eindhoven suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture which could make them slightly more cautious away from home.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown enough mixed form recently to suggest they will trade blows at the Red Bull Arena.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes RB Leipzig the side to beat here at 47%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 3.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We should see plenty of goals in this match given how both teams have been trading blows lately. The price on over 3.5 goals at 1.95 looks fair enough for a contest involving these two.

Form and momentum

RB Leipzig come in solid, winning 56% of 39 on record. 14 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

PSV Eindhoven come in strong, winning 70% of 40 on record. 14 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 47% for RBL, 23% for the draw and 30% for PSV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward RB Leipzig, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.95, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • RB Leipzig managed to lose three of their last five matches which brings some real doubt about their defensive solidity here.
  • PSV Eindhoven suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture which could make them slightly more cautious away from home.
The bottom line

We back Over 3.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
RBL1.80draw4.10PSV3.60
SourceDraftKingsRBL +100
RBL2.00draw4.00PSV3.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

RBLRB Leipzig39 games on record
Won22
Drawn5
Lost12
  • Scored76and let in56
  • At home14 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLW
PSVPSV Eindhoven40 games on record
Won28
Drawn5
Lost7
  • Scored115and let in57
  • On the road14 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWDWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Goals in Leipzig against PSV?

The site model calls the draw with over 3.5 goals looking fair at 1.95 because both sides have been trading blows lately. The catch is that Leipzig lost three of their last five matches which leaves b...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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